Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-18

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 32 10 31 4 0 0 0
OW 0 33 7 45 37 6 0 0
VODI 0 71 29 63 107 34 1 0
ODI 0 16 36 116 179 242 34 0
CDI 0 126 33 183 487 947 607 0
VCDI 0 112 52 340 603 4024 17564 19655
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 50 12 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 15 77 37 1 0 0
VODI 0 65 41 121 213 68 4 0
ODI 0 39 34 160 274 168 53 0
CDI 0 52 50 245 749 794 499 3
VCDI 0 124 84 588 2541 6837 16928 14875
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 219 16 8 0 0 0 0
OW 0 189 58 100 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 174 83 258 164 35 9 0
ODI 0 62 59 213 298 229 75 0
CDI 0 49 39 189 379 1062 881 17
VCDI 0 1 7 73 378 4845 19163 16523
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 16 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 218 54 94 29 2 0 0
VODI 0 209 96 216 175 86 21 0
ODI 0 93 56 180 296 222 129 0
CDI 0 55 31 201 334 970 803 1
VCDI 0 15 24 154 590 3060 20914 16224
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 18 23 0 0 0 0
OW 0 192 47 82 32 4 0 0
VODI 0 233 97 225 168 75 19 0
ODI 0 87 59 175 293 233 108 0
CDI 0 66 34 199 336 953 741 1
VCDI 0 12 22 157 595 3075 20999 16224

Date: 2023-05-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 229 10 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 321 56 91 60 9 0 0
VODI 0 263 117 241 212 106 48 0
ODI 0 106 56 236 315 266 123 0
CDI 0 98 63 180 329 694 1021 0
VCDI 0 44 15 199 775 4881 23795 10891
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 320 19 20 1 0 0 0
OW 0 222 56 83 49 9 3 0
VODI 0 257 99 237 229 103 38 0
ODI 0 109 65 240 296 222 118 0
CDI 0 108 53 155 304 705 917 0
VCDI 0 45 25 228 812 4917 23911 10891

Date: 2023-05-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 623 50 44 3 0 0 0
OW 0 288 132 177 41 3 1 0
VODI 0 157 118 391 229 46 4 0
ODI 0 32 49 223 507 222 59 0
CDI 0 19 15 167 518 773 508 1
VCDI 0 1 1 40 462 4010 23047 12905
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 378 26 32 6 0 0 0
OW 0 306 67 111 90 36 1 0
VODI 0 237 125 232 266 113 20 0
ODI 0 92 72 287 297 275 111 0
CDI 0 87 49 214 322 463 1147 3
VCDI 0 20 26 166 779 4167 22340 12903

Date: 2023-05-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 817 113 133 17 3 0 0
OW 0 308 110 214 56 6 3 0
VODI 0 198 94 294 342 69 18 0
ODI 0 64 48 127 346 257 70 0
CDI 0 38 51 185 278 691 697 0
VCDI 0 17 7 51 228 1637 22775 15504
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 467 43 101 56 16 9 0
OW 0 310 71 128 147 39 5 0
VODI 0 292 113 255 291 181 51 0
ODI 0 167 76 158 217 299 223 0
CDI 0 164 76 192 179 260 1368 0
VCDI 0 42 44 170 377 1868 21907 15504

Date: 2023-05-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 833 136 97 22 11 2 0
OW 0 329 119 230 105 27 5 0
VODI 0 175 89 266 383 161 12 0
ODI 0 86 48 140 292 342 116 0
CDI 0 89 50 201 388 1094 821 3
VCDI 0 41 27 133 289 3415 20780 14509
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 478 68 129 97 54 10 0
OW 0 337 85 171 184 126 6 0
VODI 0 286 119 193 273 283 59 0
ODI 0 193 55 145 192 380 197 0
CDI 0 168 94 193 279 574 1080 12
VCDI 0 91 48 236 454 3633 20384 14500


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