Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67915 16589 509 846 524 183 45 0
OW 84 64 68 296 328 136 24 0
VODI 0 21 22 226 428 316 79 0
ODI 0 16 22 145 433 378 217 0
CDI 0 0 0 58 689 2309 1066 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 183 2635 6342 5882
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68659 16227 498 774 411 124 24 0
OW 71 95 107 346 329 99 11 0
VODI 0 17 20 283 519 267 55 0
ODI 0 2 12 137 518 434 133 0
CDI 0 1 1 25 714 2162 991 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 231 3181 6129 5474
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 69320 16192 418 598 239 81 5 0
OW 71 173 136 323 226 40 2 0
VODI 0 34 44 423 491 125 13 0
ODI 0 3 11 152 681 466 54 0
CDI 0 0 2 22 820 2545 641 0
VCDI 0 0 0 24 262 2284 6749 5430
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70724 15100 372 491 211 103 8 0
OW 67 267 150 310 209 56 6 0
VODI 0 62 86 416 399 162 24 0
ODI 0 0 6 211 622 366 62 0
CDI 0 0 0 32 775 2285 623 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 218 2644 6751 5271
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70724 15138 390 545 258 107 7 0
OW 67 222 130 268 194 62 7 0
VODI 0 69 84 368 355 158 24 0
ODI 0 0 10 221 613 361 59 0
CDI 0 0 0 57 808 2346 646 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 206 2582 6731 5271

Date: 2023-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70391 15387 404 561 235 104 54 0
OW 59 264 133 344 227 84 36 0
VODI 0 63 77 345 438 207 49 0
ODI 0 14 12 166 432 418 148 0
CDI 0 2 4 67 793 1460 807 0
VCDI 0 0 0 4 353 3280 6874 4804
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70391 15412 426 629 273 106 57 0
OW 59 235 117 289 226 92 35 0
VODI 0 62 69 312 380 193 46 0
ODI 0 19 8 147 475 462 130 0
CDI 0 2 10 104 757 1419 807 0
VCDI 0 0 0 6 367 3281 6893 4804

Date: 2023-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70014 15807 407 520 217 76 26 0
OW 56 281 198 348 182 55 12 0
VODI 0 29 79 487 539 117 18 0
ODI 0 0 4 118 712 405 42 0
CDI 0 1 0 57 902 2233 453 0
VCDI 0 0 3 10 131 1914 7414 5233
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70012 15784 451 655 331 112 42 0
OW 58 264 136 285 206 88 19 0
VODI 0 63 78 294 435 161 53 0
ODI 0 6 22 159 404 286 180 0
CDI 0 1 1 109 852 1112 604 0
VCDI 0 0 3 38 455 3041 7067 5233

Date: 2023-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70821 15595 429 555 223 75 17 0
OW 54 153 136 383 218 35 16 0
VODI 0 28 55 329 519 160 47 0
ODI 0 7 7 116 511 227 115 0
CDI 0 2 4 75 924 2083 635 0
VCDI 0 0 0 22 266 1951 6777 5530
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70819 15330 401 621 327 103 46 0
OW 56 298 93 290 236 74 18 0
VODI 0 110 80 230 376 208 93 0
ODI 0 35 43 157 339 208 206 0
CDI 0 12 14 142 839 1190 610 0
VCDI 0 0 0 40 544 2748 6634 5530

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70987 15398 412 594 293 87 9 0
OW 62 123 161 395 289 96 21 0
VODI 0 25 35 295 467 184 105 0
ODI 0 3 8 104 512 306 114 0
CDI 0 0 3 93 886 2465 951 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 206 1996 8533 2853
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70987 15203 410 655 408 136 25 0
OW 62 219 92 276 245 142 34 0
VODI 0 102 71 214 303 201 168 0
ODI 0 20 40 164 335 244 225 0
CDI 0 5 4 133 991 1627 851 0
VCDI 0 0 2 68 371 2784 8430 2853


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