Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-11

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 196 22 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 23 24 9 5 1 0
VODI 0 36 2 9 7 3 10 0
ODI 0 19 7 15 21 17 13 0
CDI 0 23 6 26 84 185 89 2
VCDI 0 14 6 32 150 1999 13751 15197
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 197 22 10 1 0 0 0
OW 0 39 17 36 18 6 0 0
VODI 0 29 4 6 5 13 2 0
ODI 0 11 10 12 13 19 5 0
CDI 0 3 18 32 61 140 105 0
VCDI 0 0 2 36 161 1280 14846 14923
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 8 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 38 7 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 3 5 9 9 3 0
ODI 0 12 14 13 34 12 8 0
CDI 0 18 12 57 141 240 88 4
VCDI 0 0 0 17 171 1300 14706 14788
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 272 28 27 0 0 0 0
OW 0 28 12 13 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 16 12 6 6 8 0
ODI 0 4 6 15 34 7 6 0
CDI 0 9 8 47 125 205 185 13
VCDI 0 0 2 19 141 1591 14482 14742
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 271 34 32 0 0 0 0
OW 0 30 8 8 9 2 2 0
VODI 0 8 14 15 1 2 6 0
ODI 0 4 6 18 39 8 6 0
CDI 0 9 8 44 119 223 196 8
VCDI 0 0 2 16 142 1574 14471 14747

Date: 2023-05-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 302 9 13 4 0 0 0
OW 0 37 4 11 6 6 1 0
VODI 0 33 2 8 1 3 5 0
ODI 0 27 8 28 11 13 57 0
CDI 0 23 10 55 136 288 185 5
VCDI 0 14 9 34 178 1594 15108 13854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 307 11 21 7 0 0 0
OW 0 34 2 5 3 7 4 0
VODI 0 35 2 10 3 2 4 0
ODI 0 24 8 27 15 15 64 0
CDI 0 22 10 52 135 291 191 4
VCDI 0 14 9 34 173 1589 15093 13855

Date: 2023-05-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 385 9 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 4 9 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 37 10 25 24 3 0 0
ODI 0 16 6 26 66 63 16 0
CDI 0 22 17 49 161 576 271 0
VCDI 0 0 0 5 118 1331 14791 13985
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 322 9 13 1 0 0 0
OW 0 39 3 6 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 13 15 3 0 0
ODI 0 30 2 25 42 40 57 0
CDI 0 37 5 35 114 233 247 2
VCDI 0 30 19 35 200 1697 14774 13983

Date: 2023-05-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 435 14 10 3 0 0 0
OW 0 42 3 5 6 3 1 0
VODI 0 33 19 36 27 3 0 0
ODI 0 24 9 34 63 23 22 0
CDI 0 29 10 56 180 396 302 0
VCDI 0 1 5 60 359 2604 13513 13752
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 331 12 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 39 1 8 3 2 0 0
VODI 0 57 8 22 28 2 28 0
ODI 0 44 12 25 44 35 53 0
CDI 0 65 17 47 121 136 200 7
VCDI 0 28 10 96 442 2854 13557 13745

Date: 2023-05-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 440 12 14 2 2 0 0
OW 0 51 5 17 16 1 1 0
VODI 0 55 14 34 37 8 0 0
ODI 0 28 23 41 65 41 13 0
CDI 0 22 25 83 210 413 249 0
VCDI 0 12 28 123 479 3674 15088 10756
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 335 6 10 1 1 0 0
OW 0 53 5 16 13 2 0 0
VODI 0 64 14 23 25 23 40 0
ODI 0 52 8 23 52 35 104 0
CDI 0 72 25 43 139 148 380 0
VCDI 0 32 49 197 579 3930 14827 10756


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