Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67529 16914 478 736 462 178 50 0
OW 59 229 100 302 330 167 34 0
VODI 0 114 54 237 398 282 135 0
ODI 0 60 25 111 320 380 174 0
CDI 0 30 18 89 340 998 678 0
VCDI 0 34 30 110 414 3564 7579 5358
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67890 16747 482 677 461 279 43 0
OW 74 256 109 265 288 186 59 0
VODI 0 141 64 192 316 310 155 0
ODI 0 55 28 98 291 377 208 0
CDI 0 42 22 93 309 1056 753 0
VCDI 0 16 28 98 519 3636 7384 5093
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67389 17429 425 672 403 182 49 0
OW 94 141 100 269 244 101 29 0
VODI 3 61 52 192 394 193 55 0
ODI 0 8 19 146 345 359 117 0
CDI 0 1 10 115 472 2203 1055 0
VCDI 0 0 1 20 127 2490 7245 5890
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67915 16643 495 840 501 170 43 0
OW 82 64 69 287 285 156 19 0
VODI 4 18 29 210 409 281 65 0
ODI 0 15 24 185 410 453 123 0
CDI 0 2 1 56 640 2252 828 0
VCDI 0 1 4 23 189 2978 7021 5310
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67916 16642 498 855 502 175 45 0
OW 80 62 66 283 299 149 20 0
VODI 5 19 27 204 399 277 68 0
ODI 0 10 23 164 378 457 140 0
CDI 0 9 4 73 609 2071 828 0
VCDI 0 1 4 22 247 3161 6998 5310

Date: 2023-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67925 16683 520 880 414 161 39 0
OW 77 72 87 313 349 120 16 0
VODI 0 18 27 273 478 306 60 0
ODI 0 4 12 141 437 414 177 0
CDI 0 1 0 29 722 2253 1150 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 172 2771 6278 5703
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67926 16675 526 921 434 167 40 0
OW 76 79 82 280 337 118 18 0
VODI 0 19 23 250 462 298 72 0
ODI 0 3 12 147 426 435 179 0
CDI 0 2 3 38 672 2218 1176 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 241 2789 6235 5703

Date: 2023-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68847 16309 426 614 247 56 6 0
OW 71 162 149 356 251 45 0 0
VODI 0 22 60 437 540 128 5 0
ODI 0 0 6 142 839 433 31 0
CDI 0 0 0 14 836 3051 539 0
VCDI 0 0 0 19 153 2194 6774 5338
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68847 16358 481 749 391 87 7 0
OW 71 111 104 322 290 105 8 0
VODI 0 20 45 290 497 199 57 0
ODI 0 4 10 168 506 414 117 0
CDI 0 0 1 30 797 1807 959 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 385 3295 6207 5338

Date: 2023-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70418 15254 389 541 220 114 23 0
OW 68 200 144 356 200 49 11 0
VODI 0 34 65 396 468 131 35 0
ODI 0 0 3 178 648 419 63 0
CDI 0 0 0 24 870 2231 855 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 251 2210 6803 5413
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70418 15254 404 578 305 142 42 0
OW 68 172 118 335 210 65 40 0
VODI 0 61 61 309 361 161 85 0
ODI 0 1 18 204 498 417 118 0
CDI 0 0 0 65 905 1427 1093 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 378 2942 6412 5413

Date: 2023-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71023 14930 363 487 211 90 26 0
OW 64 306 139 292 200 68 9 0
VODI 0 82 75 396 401 196 29 0
ODI 0 17 14 165 600 329 86 0
CDI 0 2 2 69 970 1629 688 0
VCDI 0 0 0 8 221 3175 7499 4239
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 71023 14966 388 538 284 134 40 0
OW 64 241 100 227 205 98 32 0
VODI 0 103 74 321 307 219 48 0
ODI 0 24 25 198 451 352 162 0
CDI 0 3 6 124 1024 1329 916 0
VCDI 0 0 0 9 332 3355 7139 4239


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