Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-05-04

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 27 11 1 0 0 0
OW 0 43 11 29 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 72 16 17 14 3 0 0
ODI 0 50 4 7 36 31 8 0
CDI 0 78 0 17 106 86 80 0
VCDI 0 66 23 65 265 1699 10212 18875
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 125 14 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 19 26 13 2 0 0
VODI 0 48 18 27 17 13 1 0
ODI 0 43 1 5 11 5 3 0
CDI 0 56 2 6 39 66 89 9
VCDI 0 82 15 49 272 1241 10072 19619
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 243 24 36 11 0 0 0
OW 0 62 9 13 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 4 29 14 16 1 0
ODI 0 34 6 7 31 5 0 0
CDI 0 31 15 32 135 123 37 3
VCDI 0 0 0 13 195 1418 12204 17280
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-05-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 201 26 32 2 0 0 0
OW 0 66 11 20 12 3 1 0
VODI 0 41 4 4 8 7 10 0
ODI 0 25 6 16 29 10 7 0
CDI 0 28 8 20 88 183 131 2
VCDI 0 10 7 20 145 2117 14447 14335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 239 36 47 14 2 1 0
OW 0 40 1 8 4 5 3 0
VODI 0 39 6 4 4 3 7 0
ODI 0 19 6 16 36 10 5 0
CDI 0 23 6 18 88 179 152 5
VCDI 0 11 7 19 138 2121 14428 14332

Date: 2023-05-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 189 24 20 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 20 37 12 6 1 0
VODI 0 31 2 9 7 5 8 0
ODI 0 17 5 13 19 21 10 0
CDI 0 19 3 23 70 161 74 1
VCDI 0 13 8 24 167 1611 13548 15867
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 210 38 50 11 3 0 0
OW 0 19 7 9 3 5 3 0
VODI 0 33 3 11 5 3 6 0
ODI 0 15 3 12 22 24 9 0
CDI 0 17 3 20 71 155 75 4
VCDI 0 12 8 24 163 1614 13548 15864

Date: 2023-05-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 287 17 13 2 0 0 0
OW 0 33 13 19 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 11 10 16 17 0 0
ODI 0 14 6 24 30 15 2 0
CDI 0 10 7 34 111 302 108 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 72 1059 15404 14427
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 23 31 6 0 0 0
OW 0 29 4 4 12 8 0 0
VODI 0 36 8 1 3 11 0 0
ODI 0 20 5 13 12 9 2 0
CDI 0 24 6 27 75 123 52 0
VCDI 0 15 8 24 127 1242 15460 14427

Date: 2023-05-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 305 10 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 36 11 10 5 1 0 0
VODI 0 22 4 7 4 10 9 0
ODI 0 9 9 20 37 9 5 0
CDI 0 15 9 45 150 221 181 13
VCDI 0 1 2 24 222 1582 14754 14335
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 262 15 15 7 6 1 0
OW 0 29 2 2 1 2 7 0
VODI 0 32 6 0 0 1 2 0
ODI 0 26 1 9 5 5 5 0
CDI 0 23 13 35 72 59 109 3
VCDI 0 16 8 50 333 1750 14825 14345

Date: 2023-05-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 324 8 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 6 11 9 1 0 0
VODI 0 34 4 3 1 11 4 0
ODI 0 21 13 11 14 15 21 0
CDI 0 18 20 48 92 149 191 15
VCDI 0 10 5 26 140 1260 14637 14908
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 278 14 20 9 6 2 0
OW 0 35 0 0 1 3 2 0
VODI 0 44 0 0 0 3 0 0
ODI 0 32 6 7 1 4 44 0
CDI 0 36 22 31 30 25 195 8
VCDI 0 25 14 50 215 1395 14610 14915


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