Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-27

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 16 6 2 0 0 0
OW 0 13 10 23 21 2 0 0
VODI 0 15 6 17 40 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 10 35 19 4 0
CDI 0 1 6 14 77 77 50 0
VCDI 0 0 5 34 248 1185 12559 17470
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 85 28 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 9 16 32 21 1 0 0
VODI 0 10 8 27 37 7 0 0
ODI 0 9 8 33 41 33 11 0
CDI 0 13 11 40 112 106 102 0
VCDI 0 6 20 104 332 1657 15015 14142
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 121 28 39 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 7 26 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 22 39 22 2 0 0
ODI 0 28 15 48 31 28 4 0
CDI 0 42 11 70 70 101 86 0
VCDI 0 15 26 99 335 1854 12949 15903
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 139 20 23 3 0 0 0
OW 0 32 14 18 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 13 22 21 2 0 0
ODI 0 41 11 14 27 35 9 0
CDI 0 65 10 28 73 129 88 0
VCDI 0 82 27 76 303 1921 11697 17060
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 148 25 30 4 0 0 0
OW 0 42 11 14 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 13 21 22 6 0 0
ODI 0 37 8 11 32 34 15 0
CDI 0 72 7 22 74 149 97 0
VCDI 0 67 31 83 296 1898 11682 17060

Date: 2023-04-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 118 18 13 2 0 0 0
OW 0 46 20 32 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 61 22 19 14 7 1 0
ODI 0 52 0 6 18 15 1 0
CDI 0 64 2 10 84 73 87 0
VCDI 0 79 15 38 286 1464 10754 18652
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 127 23 18 4 0 0 0
OW 0 52 19 20 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 18 26 9 6 1 0
ODI 0 50 0 8 30 15 1 0
CDI 0 64 2 11 95 91 97 0
VCDI 0 69 15 35 267 1447 10744 18652

Date: 2023-05-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 241 24 18 15 0 0 0
OW 0 82 10 17 7 1 0 0
VODI 0 48 6 20 17 9 2 0
ODI 0 42 2 9 31 17 6 0
CDI 0 27 11 42 127 285 66 7
VCDI 0 0 0 1 119 1089 11547 18137
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 140 21 18 15 0 0 0
OW 0 71 9 17 10 5 1 0
VODI 0 64 8 16 19 10 5 0
ODI 0 32 3 8 4 8 2 0
CDI 0 43 1 7 36 82 68 10
VCDI 0 90 11 41 232 1296 11545 18134

Date: 2023-05-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 245 27 25 6 0 0 0
OW 0 60 4 13 5 2 0 0
VODI 0 45 5 15 17 6 7 0
ODI 0 32 3 13 38 14 7 0
CDI 0 31 7 17 88 142 86 1
VCDI 0 10 6 31 241 1900 12404 16529
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 136 15 16 0 0 0 0
OW 0 65 13 15 6 3 1 0
VODI 0 52 5 15 13 6 9 0
ODI 0 35 3 6 7 4 1 0
CDI 0 48 6 15 35 61 58 0
VCDI 0 87 10 47 334 1990 12435 16530

Date: 2023-05-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 196 22 21 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 23 24 9 5 1 0
VODI 0 36 2 9 7 3 10 0
ODI 0 19 7 15 21 17 13 0
CDI 0 23 6 26 84 185 89 2
VCDI 0 14 6 32 150 1999 13751 15197
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 109 7 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 15 13 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 20 35 15 9 9 0
ODI 0 11 0 6 2 15 11 10
CDI 0 31 1 12 55 94 170 49
VCDI 0 77 23 60 199 2091 13674 15140


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