Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62843 19858 1621 845 307 70 23 0
OW 52 246 133 325 245 116 52 0
VODI 0 122 109 256 324 215 87 0
ODI 0 54 47 142 297 293 136 0
CDI 0 62 20 79 339 901 983 0
VCDI 0 12 10 76 493 3330 8968 5009
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61932 19853 2634 865 341 98 41 0
OW 52 254 176 277 191 113 58 0
VODI 0 160 117 275 290 182 72 0
ODI 0 83 54 150 227 280 155 0
CDI 0 53 36 111 383 922 888 0
VCDI 0 9 22 96 590 4436 8445 4179
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61245 19822 3758 853 266 36 29 0
OW 51 203 242 379 213 55 31 0
VODI 0 80 126 326 348 164 19 0
ODI 0 33 30 129 335 353 125 0
CDI 0 18 23 87 351 915 707 0
VCDI 0 17 11 79 374 4312 8519 4436
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59927 20914 3834 1009 261 57 53 0
OW 51 273 187 331 270 90 33 0
VODI 0 75 93 268 314 246 97 0
ODI 0 28 29 184 271 291 225 0
CDI 0 23 12 120 456 680 729 0
VCDI 0 10 6 61 766 3681 8844 4301
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59927 21054 3866 1020 290 65 57 0
OW 51 149 152 337 242 83 30 0
VODI 0 60 95 243 305 231 87 0
ODI 0 26 27 186 264 301 234 0
CDI 0 22 15 119 446 645 738 0
VCDI 0 12 6 68 791 3720 8835 4301

Date: 2023-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61447 20357 2678 953 332 71 54 0
OW 51 256 136 335 266 130 31 0
VODI 0 145 109 243 299 257 94 0
ODI 0 47 39 134 252 358 196 0
CDI 0 33 19 121 396 1003 812 0
VCDI 0 5 20 94 463 4002 8940 3922
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61447 20501 2708 1040 349 85 61 0
OW 51 169 149 281 254 122 30 0
VODI 0 93 75 213 290 250 90 0
ODI 0 45 33 128 245 334 177 0
CDI 0 28 16 110 383 984 817 0
VCDI 0 7 20 108 487 4046 8952 3922

Date: 2023-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61610 20177 2632 1059 344 134 57 0
OW 59 160 125 390 325 177 40 0
VODI 5 66 73 271 291 270 134 0
ODI 5 27 28 139 330 347 233 0
CDI 5 16 23 118 397 935 864 0
VCDI 1 3 18 130 605 3859 7810 4808
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61603 20179 2631 1147 454 156 70 0
OW 63 139 114 302 266 181 32 0
VODI 7 70 79 227 282 234 135 0
ODI 6 36 36 143 279 361 204 0
CDI 5 18 17 140 395 962 904 0
VCDI 1 7 22 148 616 3828 7793 4808

Date: 2023-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 16480 525 859 493 207 71 0
OW 59 196 76 284 339 182 37 0
VODI 0 102 34 211 383 329 119 0
ODI 0 58 27 99 331 390 239 0
CDI 0 36 20 82 353 980 926 0
VCDI 0 15 25 125 409 3378 7874 5194
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67553 16438 527 880 572 242 73 0
OW 59 191 77 248 306 185 29 0
VODI 0 127 33 199 328 319 109 0
ODI 0 64 25 109 323 367 203 0
CDI 0 44 17 90 375 1032 926 0
VCDI 0 23 28 134 404 3321 7926 5194

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67529 16914 478 736 462 178 50 0
OW 59 229 100 302 330 167 34 0
VODI 0 114 54 237 398 282 135 0
ODI 0 60 25 111 320 380 174 0
CDI 0 30 18 89 340 998 678 0
VCDI 0 34 30 110 414 3564 7579 5358
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67529 16852 473 760 545 196 46 0
OW 59 242 92 273 295 170 35 0
VODI 0 150 65 195 355 272 117 0
ODI 0 61 24 126 263 346 151 0
CDI 0 42 21 124 367 1099 787 0
VCDI 0 34 30 107 439 3486 7514 5358


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