Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-20

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 7 26 52 10
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 920 10793 34012
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 14 9 12 8
VCDI 0 0 0 50 298 915 11282 33269
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 12 15 8 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 33 85 89 78 6
VCDI 0 0 14 117 381 806 11931 32287
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 8 11 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 9 60 32 11 8 0
CDI 0 1 9 63 108 129 199 6
VCDI 0 0 4 105 496 919 12258 31429
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 8 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 0 10 50 30 10 7 0
CDI 0 1 6 67 111 125 200 6
VCDI 0 0 7 114 495 924 12258 31429

Date: 2023-04-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 3 1 0 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 47 18 16 6 0
CDI 0 0 2 76 114 192 227 6
VCDI 0 1 1 35 343 1496 11954 31314
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 2 3 1 4 0 0
ODI 0 2 8 40 14 12 9 0
CDI 0 0 3 79 116 208 213 4
VCDI 0 1 1 37 344 1484 11965 31316

Date: 2023-04-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 3 1 1 1 3 5 0
ODI 0 4 12 29 38 22 27 0
CDI 0 1 8 93 156 260 275 4
VCDI 0 0 4 65 325 2058 12832 29639
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 2 2 4 6 0
ODI 0 3 11 35 39 19 25 0
CDI 0 1 8 98 151 252 274 1
VCDI 0 0 4 53 328 2068 12834 29642

Date: 2023-04-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 13 0 1 0 0 8 0
ODI 0 7 10 15 12 22 48 0
CDI 0 11 10 57 119 282 396 4
VCDI 0 3 5 61 336 1666 13668 29111
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 3 3 2 1 6 0
ODI 0 2 9 24 18 16 35 0
CDI 0 11 6 67 153 329 472 2
VCDI 0 3 7 40 294 1624 13607 29113

Date: 2023-04-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0
VODI 0 13 0 1 4 12 4 0
ODI 0 11 5 13 29 34 47 0
CDI 0 4 13 77 195 279 331 0
VCDI 0 2 12 112 528 2122 16319 25692
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 0 1 1 6 8 0
ODI 0 12 5 25 29 22 28 0
CDI 0 3 13 101 264 335 331 0
VCDI 0 2 12 76 462 2086 16334 25692


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