Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-04-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 37 9 21 24 8 0 0
OW 0 9 6 9 16 20 4 0
VODI 0 6 2 15 21 19 17 0
ODI 0 1 2 11 24 26 14 0
CDI 0 0 0 4 40 73 42 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 79 651 7689 23182
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 29 26 24 18 6 0 0
OW 0 9 19 13 31 8 0 0
VODI 0 3 18 9 26 27 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 18 19 25 3 0
CDI 0 1 0 14 34 70 40 20
VCDI 0 0 1 8 110 711 9601 21136
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 22 9 21 19 0 0 0
OW 0 3 3 9 32 0 0 0
VODI 0 1 1 5 67 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 3 50 30 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 23 113 61 2
VCDI 0 0 0 0 38 478 10203 20872
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 7 6 15 8 0 0
OW 0 3 3 9 12 21 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 3 22 43 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 7 11 53 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 25 130 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 426 7252 23971
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 17 8 9 15 9 0 0
OW 0 2 2 8 12 20 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 2 22 44 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 9 51 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 2 27 124 16 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 21 433 7251 23971

Date: 2023-04-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 3 8 9 7 0 0
OW 0 9 6 8 5 13 0 0
VODI 0 7 4 10 16 35 1 0
ODI 0 2 1 7 14 42 8 0
CDI 0 1 0 2 23 64 15 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 1 227 9065 22433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 36 4 8 8 7 0 0
OW 0 11 5 8 5 16 0 0
VODI 0 5 4 9 13 31 2 0
ODI 0 2 1 6 13 38 7 0
CDI 0 1 0 4 23 62 14 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 6 234 9066 22433

Date: 2023-04-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 51 12 7 9 0 0 0
OW 0 6 13 13 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 2 18 46 5 0 0
ODI 0 2 0 11 40 27 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 3 49 78 30 1
VCDI 0 0 0 0 25 365 6607 24648
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 48 9 9 12 0 0 0
OW 0 8 10 3 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 4 7 19 35 2 0 0
ODI 0 3 1 15 39 15 0 0
CDI 0 1 0 6 49 67 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 27 391 6636 24649

Date: 2023-04-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 21 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 5 25 12 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 8 17 50 0 0 0
ODI 0 2 1 10 39 20 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 52 44 10 4
VCDI 0 0 0 13 69 636 9110 21823
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 63 10 10 0 0 0 0
OW 0 19 6 11 13 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 14 15 32 1 0 0
ODI 0 5 4 17 51 8 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 16 71 40 7 11
VCDI 0 0 0 15 55 651 9113 21816

Date: 2023-04-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 100 16 6 2 0 0 0
OW 0 13 10 23 21 2 0 0
VODI 0 15 6 17 40 3 0 0
ODI 0 6 8 10 35 19 4 0
CDI 0 1 6 14 77 77 50 0
VCDI 0 0 5 34 248 1185 12559 17470
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 59 4 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 21 4 10 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 9 13 39 4 0 0
ODI 0 20 9 9 42 8 3 0
CDI 0 11 18 33 68 50 67 0
VCDI 0 0 7 36 264 1224 12543 17470


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