Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-04-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58483 21629 3352 657 297 90 30 0
OW 62 200 228 343 192 80 27 0
VODI 0 109 120 228 313 170 113 0
ODI 0 38 26 140 291 229 190 0
CDI 0 8 3 69 361 574 539 0
VCDI 0 1 0 9 426 1766 10831 6876
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61047 18960 3466 729 332 139 41 0
OW 54 292 207 274 197 115 56 0
VODI 0 125 133 236 264 174 165 0
ODI 0 42 62 154 209 268 185 0
CDI 0 5 15 101 267 468 523 0
VCDI 0 0 0 29 381 1982 11351 6052
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56839 22410 4571 630 161 38 20 0
OW 53 142 386 326 176 45 12 0
VODI 0 70 185 352 261 139 27 0
ODI 0 37 42 172 228 242 109 0
CDI 0 15 11 104 271 404 375 0
VCDI 0 8 17 55 311 2311 10771 6774
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-04-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57037 24065 2836 616 225 102 23 0
OW 54 234 281 272 143 82 27 0
VODI 0 82 197 280 240 160 66 0
ODI 0 26 102 137 202 222 149 0
CDI 0 19 55 126 238 381 323 0
VCDI 0 25 47 121 371 2712 9911 6911
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57037 24088 2819 610 222 110 25 0
OW 54 209 278 256 143 78 25 0
VODI 0 83 221 277 229 152 66 0
ODI 0 31 95 150 204 218 148 0
CDI 0 16 50 133 227 373 324 0
VCDI 0 24 55 126 394 2728 9911 6911

Date: 2023-04-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57018 21123 5892 628 221 71 15 0
OW 52 216 257 315 178 64 15 0
VODI 0 97 150 311 309 126 53 0
ODI 0 34 71 148 292 225 97 0
CDI 0 39 32 126 291 491 237 0
VCDI 0 22 60 89 399 3444 10806 5086
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57018 21123 5898 637 228 82 15 0
OW 52 204 233 289 153 62 15 0
VODI 0 110 153 309 300 126 64 0
ODI 0 36 80 145 293 221 87 0
CDI 0 32 40 126 260 438 226 0
VCDI 0 26 58 111 456 3492 10816 5086

Date: 2023-04-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59950 20354 3399 851 272 44 2 0
OW 52 299 208 353 196 59 14 0
VODI 0 138 133 290 393 119 41 0
ODI 0 54 59 169 415 276 103 0
CDI 0 49 18 75 332 896 579 0
VCDI 0 21 27 64 328 3390 9780 5298
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59950 20289 3448 940 345 100 22 0
OW 52 274 128 279 205 74 31 0
VODI 0 196 101 204 343 173 67 0
ODI 0 80 78 156 249 208 147 0
CDI 0 60 46 124 359 735 540 0
VCDI 0 16 43 99 435 3494 9712 5298

Date: 2023-04-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63946 18486 1404 1018 285 76 23 0
OW 52 270 100 349 247 86 50 0
VODI 0 142 113 218 373 235 92 0
ODI 0 55 57 150 266 328 132 0
CDI 0 64 27 82 403 946 749 0
VCDI 0 11 13 79 367 3052 9170 5584
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63946 18298 1385 1018 347 125 72 0
OW 52 303 78 296 212 113 63 0
VODI 0 214 82 181 292 270 124 0
ODI 0 98 85 147 212 298 186 0
CDI 0 86 54 156 423 755 759 0
VCDI 0 29 30 98 455 3162 9012 5584

Date: 2023-04-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62843 19858 1621 845 307 70 23 0
OW 52 246 133 325 245 116 52 0
VODI 0 122 109 256 324 215 87 0
ODI 0 54 47 142 297 293 136 0
CDI 0 62 20 79 339 901 983 0
VCDI 0 12 10 76 493 3330 8968 5009
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62843 19666 1581 882 364 133 57 0
OW 52 264 118 259 216 133 69 0
VODI 0 186 88 197 287 263 142 0
ODI 0 123 75 144 216 293 152 0
CDI 0 89 57 124 345 655 651 0
VCDI 0 26 21 117 577 3448 9178 5009


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