Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58933 19898 5446 425 59 12 17 0
OW 52 418 244 388 117 11 5 0
VODI 0 234 151 437 261 57 5 0
ODI 0 85 93 237 314 147 19 0
CDI 0 102 89 223 437 499 69 0
VCDI 0 52 56 358 1254 5699 8978 3219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61846 20388 2059 473 90 23 22 0
OW 58 486 204 335 143 45 2 0
VODI 2 301 176 339 243 104 8 0
ODI 0 174 99 289 255 195 18 0
CDI 0 95 45 201 299 594 159 0
VCDI 0 25 45 313 1088 3944 8668 5247
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59231 22104 2930 531 100 36 23 0
OW 52 347 277 403 121 43 6 0
VODI 0 191 216 441 296 72 14 0
ODI 0 115 63 196 360 166 42 0
CDI 0 41 43 103 352 626 361 0
VCDI 0 29 86 234 1013 4018 7788 6030
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62488 20524 921 579 217 85 31 0
OW 52 350 263 350 175 70 23 0
VODI 0 173 97 339 345 128 33 0
ODI 0 111 38 147 312 267 59 0
CDI 0 48 22 82 278 845 410 0
VCDI 0 54 25 111 625 2632 9176 6615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62488 20489 938 607 212 84 29 0
OW 52 375 229 314 184 67 21 0
VODI 0 177 113 332 331 123 36 0
ODI 0 104 38 149 293 259 60 0
CDI 0 57 20 86 284 868 414 0
VCDI 0 58 28 120 648 2626 9172 6615

Date: 2023-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61957 20843 1102 561 216 88 60 0
OW 67 341 206 352 159 80 20 0
VODI 0 112 104 305 330 175 38 0
ODI 0 82 31 120 319 306 80 0
CDI 0 46 21 61 284 736 371 0
VCDI 0 21 24 61 328 2463 12008 4622
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61962 20855 1098 596 222 89 62 0
OW 62 311 193 326 158 79 19 0
VODI 0 129 115 291 330 166 34 0
ODI 0 68 36 119 312 297 82 0
CDI 0 50 21 60 260 739 393 0
VCDI 0 32 25 68 354 2478 11987 4622

Date: 2023-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58668 22675 2616 497 171 59 20 0
OW 56 299 261 376 175 47 7 0
VODI 0 142 77 341 335 167 27 0
ODI 0 72 27 109 330 316 41 0
CDI 0 46 11 44 232 857 276 0
VCDI 0 23 23 81 230 2228 13648 3490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58669 22653 2613 595 229 98 33 0
OW 55 289 222 264 201 75 19 0
VODI 0 143 110 296 276 186 33 0
ODI 0 76 29 138 261 296 65 0
CDI 0 54 14 72 220 745 287 0
VCDI 0 42 27 83 286 2274 13582 3490

Date: 2023-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58819 22441 2607 613 207 63 10 0
OW 56 212 202 344 238 77 12 0
VODI 0 175 98 226 320 182 30 0
ODI 0 70 64 108 227 244 80 0
CDI 0 33 22 102 262 496 229 0
VCDI 0 16 21 76 271 2812 12477 4558
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58818 22400 2591 625 267 86 21 0
OW 57 245 200 276 182 82 17 0
VODI 0 149 105 265 269 177 39 0
ODI 0 88 65 113 263 253 83 0
CDI 0 36 33 104 258 543 305 0
VCDI 0 29 20 86 286 2733 12373 4558

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58967 22117 2490 640 236 87 13 0
OW 54 295 157 329 234 122 13 0
VODI 0 166 94 246 296 217 43 0
ODI 0 65 41 123 235 267 88 0
CDI 0 28 16 89 309 457 313 0
VCDI 0 1 9 61 416 3207 10789 5770
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58967 22169 2476 658 318 125 20 0
OW 54 274 175 282 191 128 13 0
VODI 0 143 90 255 267 239 57 0
ODI 0 63 45 130 268 239 114 0
CDI 0 22 16 99 278 508 260 0
VCDI 0 1 5 64 404 3118 10795 5770


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