Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 46 22 16 0 0 0
OW 0 39 5 17 14 2 0 0
VODI 0 41 9 11 11 7 0 0
ODI 0 27 13 6 12 6 2 0
CDI 0 37 10 7 13 52 52 1
VCDI 0 100 135 147 167 628 9504 20702
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 24 20 11 1 0 0
OW 0 46 2 6 13 6 0 0
VODI 0 46 2 8 10 13 3 0
ODI 0 34 2 2 12 3 7 0
CDI 0 39 4 4 10 19 46 4
VCDI 0 194 65 95 116 457 10440 20081
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 174 111 7 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 9 3 6 3 0 0
VODI 0 35 14 18 13 6 0 0
ODI 0 26 10 21 18 13 0 0
CDI 0 28 20 11 48 87 34 2
VCDI 0 66 143 105 156 747 9822 20287
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 199 30 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 41 13 8 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 11 50 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 8 33 46 3 9 0
CDI 0 21 11 20 71 68 101 99
VCDI 0 60 36 84 264 1488 13839 15391
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 202 30 24 1 0 0 0
OW 0 38 12 9 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 15 51 7 0 0 0
ODI 0 20 8 31 47 3 8 0
CDI 0 21 12 23 69 70 107 93
VCDI 0 58 32 81 266 1486 13834 15397

Date: 2023-03-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 138 38 40 10 0 0 0
OW 0 38 5 12 5 4 0 0
VODI 0 25 13 18 9 7 0 0
ODI 0 15 6 16 53 9 12 12
CDI 0 15 3 20 49 30 91 133
VCDI 0 13 19 47 157 1053 14124 15843
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 38 41 10 1 0 0
OW 0 30 4 11 6 4 0 0
VODI 0 32 13 18 7 7 0 0
ODI 0 20 7 16 51 10 11 12
CDI 0 12 3 19 51 25 95 138
VCDI 0 13 19 48 158 1056 14121 15838

Date: 2023-03-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 188 41 38 7 0 0 0
OW 0 24 17 13 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 23 7 15 31 10 0 0
ODI 0 9 5 10 57 21 0 0
CDI 0 6 6 8 26 34 20 19
VCDI 0 2 11 28 85 625 8978 21706
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 29 27 12 0 0 0
OW 0 34 10 9 2 2 0 0
VODI 0 36 14 16 7 4 0 0
ODI 0 21 9 8 28 13 2 1
CDI 0 16 8 12 43 23 98 32
VCDI 0 8 17 40 125 649 8898 21692

Date: 2023-03-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 123 94 35 10 1 0 0
OW 0 32 17 16 16 2 0 0
VODI 0 17 7 8 24 19 1 0
ODI 0 12 5 7 19 46 6 0
CDI 0 7 6 6 10 53 56 7
VCDI 0 0 7 21 108 614 11440 19230
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 91 79 19 15 0 0 0
OW 0 35 20 16 5 5 0 0
VODI 0 33 14 17 12 11 0 0
ODI 0 18 8 8 38 43 21 0
CDI 0 10 5 12 22 76 135 18
VCDI 0 4 10 21 95 600 11347 19219

Date: 2023-03-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 154 44 26 11 1 0 0
OW 0 38 9 18 11 5 0 0
VODI 0 23 5 15 15 15 0 0
ODI 0 15 4 9 18 32 19 0
CDI 0 7 10 6 29 63 26 30
VCDI 0 3 16 15 117 738 10562 19973
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 137 39 32 12 3 0 0
OW 0 37 11 7 13 6 0 0
VODI 0 35 7 14 10 20 0 0
ODI 0 20 4 10 17 50 36 0
CDI 0 9 11 9 35 74 205 19
VCDI 0 2 16 17 114 701 10366 19984


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