Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56140 21035 6735 757 94 12 23 0
OW 55 180 360 384 164 36 9 0
VODI 0 81 193 446 278 134 30 0
ODI 0 37 50 374 363 183 42 0
CDI 0 29 12 277 726 887 204 0
VCDI 0 95 59 262 1274 4975 10647 1458
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56415 23479 4141 529 91 16 33 0
OW 52 196 370 384 152 32 16 0
VODI 0 66 163 512 285 117 47 0
ODI 0 16 44 308 387 214 54 0
CDI 0 20 9 191 662 727 343 0
VCDI 0 30 34 122 851 4728 11232 2032
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59305 16987 7842 462 71 18 33 0
OW 52 358 334 352 82 8 6 0
VODI 0 162 218 428 275 56 6 0
ODI 0 61 92 343 365 165 27 0
CDI 0 19 48 218 572 700 169 0
VCDI 0 14 27 172 910 4833 11626 1684
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57776 19953 6282 506 74 28 48 0
OW 53 310 268 450 142 10 6 0
VODI 0 154 167 396 332 68 9 0
ODI 0 51 95 238 343 202 14 0
CDI 0 36 65 214 456 603 90 0
VCDI 0 68 73 228 1037 5557 10229 2469
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57776 19899 6302 534 79 28 52 0
OW 53 340 241 411 139 8 3 0
VODI 0 183 161 387 328 79 8 0
ODI 0 47 101 233 331 194 15 0
CDI 0 33 70 222 448 611 97 0
VCDI 0 70 75 245 1059 5548 10221 2469

Date: 2023-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57305 23611 3432 461 80 15 18 0
OW 55 440 228 369 106 17 4 0
VODI 2 258 165 378 279 77 5 0
ODI 0 117 97 253 284 169 21 0
CDI 0 118 61 248 358 512 109 0
VCDI 0 29 63 346 1135 4749 8297 4829
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57305 23530 3444 472 85 15 20 0
OW 55 504 210 352 97 15 2 0
VODI 2 280 162 377 264 79 4 0
ODI 0 124 104 253 266 170 21 0
CDI 0 100 54 238 376 517 103 0
VCDI 0 35 72 363 1154 4743 8304 4829

Date: 2023-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58549 23073 2709 492 91 31 10 0
OW 52 383 284 410 115 37 9 0
VODI 0 253 171 504 292 72 3 0
ODI 0 148 35 195 380 176 39 0
CDI 0 62 23 111 365 676 337 0
VCDI 0 34 43 206 825 3878 8852 5175
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58549 22764 2695 531 120 42 15 0
OW 52 524 176 321 115 43 5 0
VODI 0 392 209 347 237 119 8 0
ODI 0 181 108 254 243 183 41 0
CDI 0 73 43 198 343 493 255 0
VCDI 0 19 34 267 1010 3990 8926 5175

Date: 2023-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62322 20560 1197 585 141 52 31 0
OW 58 394 240 387 156 40 9 0
VODI 2 191 157 340 330 83 14 0
ODI 0 109 67 172 370 185 29 0
CDI 0 46 33 134 317 713 378 0
VCDI 0 35 85 252 1049 3124 8511 6202
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62322 20175 1150 580 171 59 36 0
OW 58 525 202 280 134 57 6 0
VODI 2 422 220 323 279 128 13 0
ODI 0 157 89 247 287 208 40 0
CDI 0 51 71 134 356 636 359 0
VCDI 0 5 47 306 1136 3109 8518 6202

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61025 20940 1879 641 229 86 39 0
OW 52 366 221 334 180 101 14 0
VODI 0 136 98 286 352 189 29 0
ODI 0 82 30 133 305 309 85 0
CDI 0 49 23 79 224 855 417 0
VCDI 0 18 21 67 449 2516 9472 6769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61025 20583 1772 566 226 117 41 0
OW 52 424 234 258 165 97 14 0
VODI 0 393 167 339 255 185 36 0
ODI 0 116 66 188 269 282 109 0
CDI 0 70 18 116 322 828 479 0
VCDI 0 5 15 73 502 2547 9377 6769


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