Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 324 18 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 48 2 3 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 6 4 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 165 9 17 2 7 1 0
CDI 0 41 52 43 22 30 94 0
VCDI 0 27 52 170 186 525 9927 20219
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 244 15 22 11 2 0 0
OW 0 35 2 4 10 6 0 0
VODI 0 30 6 3 5 7 0 0
ODI 0 21 15 5 3 5 2 0
CDI 0 24 38 16 8 42 37 5
VCDI 0 39 46 119 244 695 10980 19336
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 17 19 15 2 0 0
OW 0 28 5 7 15 4 0 0
VODI 0 23 11 9 10 11 0 0
ODI 0 15 9 9 3 6 1 0
CDI 0 9 12 16 9 12 9 10
VCDI 0 6 32 80 218 409 8829 21977
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 131 134 24 5 0 0 0
OW 0 12 29 13 14 2 0 0
VODI 0 7 35 4 17 6 0 0
ODI 0 9 25 5 9 10 2 0
CDI 0 12 33 13 16 39 78 7
VCDI 0 44 105 166 175 677 8974 21250
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 128 137 30 5 0 0 0
OW 0 14 26 7 12 2 0 0
VODI 0 8 36 4 19 5 0 0
ODI 0 7 23 5 8 10 2 0
CDI 0 14 32 12 18 34 74 3
VCDI 0 44 107 167 174 683 8978 21254

Date: 2023-03-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 220 32 41 7 0 0 0
OW 0 48 2 14 8 4 0 0
VODI 0 52 4 6 17 6 3 0
ODI 0 37 3 3 5 9 7 0
CDI 0 42 2 8 12 27 43 3
VCDI 0 195 67 123 135 533 9447 20917
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 31 42 7 0 0 0
OW 0 45 3 12 10 4 0 0
VODI 0 53 3 7 12 5 2 0
ODI 0 38 4 3 8 7 8 0
CDI 0 39 3 8 9 23 45 5
VCDI 0 198 66 123 138 540 9445 20915

Date: 2023-03-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 235 30 33 8 0 0 0
OW 0 43 2 8 12 5 0 0
VODI 0 60 7 7 14 11 1 0
ODI 0 29 3 6 21 19 2 0
CDI 0 29 4 6 13 47 64 0
VCDI 0 111 62 112 112 482 9230 21254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 208 31 34 7 2 0 0
OW 0 42 1 8 13 3 0 0
VODI 0 45 4 6 13 10 1 0
ODI 0 29 6 5 18 11 4 0
CDI 0 34 4 4 11 35 46 0
VCDI 0 149 62 115 118 503 9246 21254

Date: 2023-03-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 232 41 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 35 10 12 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 31 13 31 16 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 6 25 49 1 2 0
CDI 0 31 11 14 71 65 77 61
VCDI 0 114 56 93 260 1428 12388 16880
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 258 36 10 1 0 0 0
OW 0 46 12 7 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 19 33 18 1 4 0
ODI 0 31 12 26 63 10 8 0
CDI 0 23 22 26 63 88 71 3
VCDI 0 71 36 78 249 1395 12384 16938

Date: 2023-03-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 169 35 29 7 1 0 0
OW 0 40 5 10 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 30 14 14 23 2 0 0
ODI 0 16 4 25 47 16 7 14
CDI 0 13 8 21 47 82 133 122
VCDI 0 40 20 68 225 1424 14267 15099
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 205 38 41 11 2 0 0
OW 0 34 8 13 24 7 2 0
VODI 0 26 17 39 72 46 19 0
ODI 0 14 8 17 33 73 82 9
CDI 0 16 8 14 39 123 323 82
VCDI 0 13 7 43 174 1275 13981 15144


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