Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-03-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 306 25 33 11 0 0 0
OW 0 42 5 6 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 12 11 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 9 22 27 19 0 0
CDI 0 64 11 27 82 94 43 1
VCDI 0 131 69 125 225 1132 11722 17732
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 333 32 9 1 0 0 0
OW 0 52 1 4 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 7 3 6 9 0 0
ODI 0 55 6 8 3 14 0 0
CDI 0 63 8 8 28 70 115 4
VCDI 0 188 119 132 137 663 11320 18625
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 390 6 8 1 0 0 0
OW 0 169 0 3 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 182 8 4 7 7 0 0
ODI 0 71 7 16 4 10 0 0
CDI 0 79 5 14 22 98 76 8
VCDI 0 143 89 139 177 564 8305 21441
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-03-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 343 21 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 11 7 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 164 19 9 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 106 24 26 7 10 0 0
CDI 0 41 33 45 24 39 71 1
VCDI 0 19 79 178 137 455 8320 21830
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 341 21 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 12 5 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 147 15 6 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 114 17 17 5 6 0 0
CDI 0 57 42 51 19 41 77 1
VCDI 0 17 80 183 144 457 8314 21830

Date: 2023-03-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 22 10 1 0 0 0
OW 0 45 2 2 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 52 2 1 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 55 5 5 4 8 0 0
CDI 0 122 22 28 23 47 52 1
VCDI 0 30 54 173 264 805 10765 19185
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 287 22 9 1 0 0 0
OW 0 39 2 3 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 2 1 7 3 0 0
ODI 0 57 4 7 2 6 0 0
CDI 0 123 18 15 19 53 45 0
VCDI 0 29 59 184 270 802 10772 19186

Date: 2023-03-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 257 16 15 14 4 0 0
OW 0 26 8 8 11 7 0 0
VODI 0 20 15 7 4 11 1 0
ODI 0 10 14 16 5 4 4 0
CDI 0 17 36 48 23 12 10 3
VCDI 0 10 10 61 216 501 10680 19978
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 229 16 18 19 5 0 0
OW 0 31 3 6 6 8 0 0
VODI 0 28 11 3 5 7 0 0
ODI 0 13 8 4 2 5 1 0
CDI 0 14 11 13 2 12 26 10
VCDI 0 25 50 111 239 502 10668 19971

Date: 2023-03-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 135 117 21 12 0 0 0
OW 0 26 10 4 12 6 0 0
VODI 0 28 8 7 7 15 0 0
ODI 0 9 14 9 2 6 0 0
CDI 0 0 21 16 9 27 50 3
VCDI 0 1 14 95 197 418 10218 20565
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 133 121 18 8 0 0 0
OW 0 31 4 8 15 5 0 0
VODI 0 21 10 7 7 14 0 0
ODI 0 9 15 3 4 6 0 0
CDI 0 3 12 11 6 26 41 0
VCDI 0 2 22 105 199 421 10227 20568

Date: 2023-03-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 220 47 22 16 0 0 0
OW 0 36 8 17 14 2 0 0
VODI 0 41 9 11 11 7 0 0
ODI 0 27 13 6 12 6 2 0
CDI 0 37 10 7 13 52 52 1
VCDI 0 100 135 147 167 628 9507 20699
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 191 42 22 16 0 0 0
OW 0 36 6 14 12 2 0 0
VODI 0 34 7 13 10 4 0 0
ODI 0 24 7 4 5 7 3 0
CDI 0 26 8 3 4 18 55 48
VCDI 0 150 152 154 186 664 9503 20652


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