Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-23

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58420 20822 5805 599 149 30 2 0
OW 51 311 256 322 163 21 7 0
VODI 0 192 209 337 304 67 11 0
ODI 0 46 133 259 355 120 39 0
CDI 0 8 74 217 411 482 137 0
VCDI 0 16 322 665 1277 3705 10289 2467
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61542 21408 1666 595 162 39 0 0
OW 52 296 277 329 189 33 5 0
VODI 0 176 170 397 299 101 6 0
ODI 0 58 78 263 374 153 14 0
CDI 0 19 36 187 565 401 89 0
VCDI 0 102 116 335 1327 4099 10136 3006
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58431 23422 2347 991 126 18 26 0
OW 52 231 213 412 192 13 7 0
VODI 0 98 126 395 429 76 14 0
ODI 0 18 48 288 479 160 18 0
CDI 0 1 20 143 612 554 133 0
VCDI 0 0 20 132 733 4218 8257 5647
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52841 26575 4985 664 73 11 17 0
OW 52 293 258 353 166 7 8 0
VODI 0 159 164 441 294 34 17 0
ODI 0 66 68 274 414 108 28 0
CDI 0 19 40 181 556 339 171 0
VCDI 0 12 33 209 868 3938 9525 4839
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52841 26571 4993 707 87 11 15 0
OW 52 308 265 354 165 9 10 0
VODI 0 149 146 425 310 36 18 0
ODI 0 67 78 245 419 94 26 0
CDI 0 18 33 193 550 358 139 0
VCDI 0 11 33 198 840 3929 9558 4839

Date: 2023-02-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57025 24769 2616 528 181 16 5 0
OW 52 387 209 309 153 28 5 0
VODI 0 215 149 364 304 74 5 0
ODI 0 63 97 225 347 142 20 0
CDI 0 28 41 239 513 407 85 0
VCDI 0 39 58 243 1599 4649 11426 1485
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57025 24789 2624 515 204 19 5 0
OW 52 387 202 316 137 36 5 0
VODI 0 199 154 369 269 80 4 0
ODI 0 66 93 238 355 131 19 0
CDI 0 25 41 231 548 402 99 0
VCDI 0 35 56 239 1584 4648 11414 1485

Date: 2023-02-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52301 20166 11463 764 158 28 26 0
OW 52 384 246 399 194 6 3 0
VODI 0 160 184 427 365 87 8 0
ODI 0 35 130 281 481 203 20 0
CDI 0 26 31 157 616 709 251 0
VCDI 0 55 152 343 1341 5637 10054 1157
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52301 20086 11383 703 218 29 25 0
OW 52 376 247 316 206 39 5 0
VODI 0 206 226 373 248 96 24 0
ODI 0 62 128 274 325 149 39 0
CDI 0 27 56 273 543 804 293 0
VCDI 0 69 166 432 1615 5553 9976 1157

Date: 2023-03-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55241 25500 2972 910 171 20 37 0
OW 52 216 269 432 197 51 14 0
VODI 0 71 88 454 389 117 28 0
ODI 0 34 27 174 487 219 35 0
CDI 0 33 22 191 904 820 187 0
VCDI 0 63 120 263 1139 3992 9895 3266
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55241 25443 2932 773 190 59 42 0
OW 52 241 246 402 213 57 24 0
VODI 0 77 138 443 342 167 44 0
ODI 0 36 38 272 410 212 54 0
CDI 0 41 12 229 864 810 138 0
VCDI 0 79 132 305 1268 3914 9894 3266

Date: 2023-03-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56140 21035 6735 757 94 12 23 0
OW 55 180 360 384 164 36 9 0
VODI 0 81 193 446 278 134 30 0
ODI 0 37 50 374 363 183 42 0
CDI 0 29 12 277 726 887 204 0
VCDI 0 95 59 262 1274 4975 10647 1458
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56137 20863 6562 738 134 25 28 0
OW 57 261 355 309 161 74 17 0
VODI 1 136 286 393 255 133 44 0
ODI 0 45 110 340 291 192 61 0
CDI 0 49 38 371 685 865 179 0
VCDI 0 103 58 349 1373 4938 10626 1458


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