Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53683 24887 7035 518 88 5 0 0
OW 58 467 172 290 190 21 0 0
VODI 2 262 219 294 273 72 1 0
ODI 0 92 85 218 331 147 17 0
CDI 0 77 80 185 419 464 127 0
VCDI 0 80 516 534 1273 4838 9322 1758
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54172 26817 4370 620 139 24 3 0
OW 51 388 199 330 157 33 8 0
VODI 0 245 191 312 275 66 27 0
ODI 0 81 138 190 292 127 42 0
CDI 0 59 116 126 344 363 145 0
VCDI 0 145 606 594 1201 3938 8891 3275
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55530 26699 3143 591 194 29 5 0
OW 51 307 222 409 167 24 2 0
VODI 0 131 161 325 394 92 2 0
ODI 0 22 89 203 359 205 23 0
CDI 0 6 51 196 439 548 189 0
VCDI 0 58 96 413 884 3710 10180 2951
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56782 24662 3594 663 154 44 5 0
OW 51 259 323 323 164 18 5 0
VODI 0 143 212 302 389 80 5 0
ODI 0 57 110 205 358 155 32 0
CDI 0 23 74 182 508 554 113 0
VCDI 0 111 186 442 1318 4176 9602 2716
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56782 24681 3635 692 162 43 5 0
OW 51 240 290 306 167 17 4 0
VODI 0 141 217 291 375 79 5 0
ODI 0 58 92 212 363 153 28 0
CDI 0 23 76 166 511 575 110 0
VCDI 0 112 189 450 1313 4160 9610 2716

Date: 2023-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57848 22511 4589 507 178 23 7 0
OW 52 413 200 297 160 24 3 0
VODI 0 242 197 328 292 66 8 0
ODI 0 71 98 277 379 123 14 0
CDI 0 25 61 231 416 413 102 0
VCDI 0 151 168 631 1535 4156 10292 2012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57848 22502 4582 536 214 28 7 0
OW 52 435 211 275 138 23 5 0
VODI 0 225 191 317 310 60 6 0
ODI 0 69 92 284 358 137 11 0
CDI 0 28 62 215 451 476 117 0
VCDI 0 154 175 644 1489 4081 10280 2012

Date: 2023-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56598 26487 1533 559 119 51 13 0
OW 52 228 247 410 153 36 8 0
VODI 0 87 160 496 386 73 11 0
ODI 0 16 53 260 608 206 11 0
CDI 0 13 10 109 708 587 81 0
VCDI 0 20 62 125 731 3933 8369 5491
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56598 26308 1448 611 183 76 15 0
OW 52 330 238 306 195 38 12 0
VODI 0 122 174 384 328 120 10 0
ODI 0 39 94 222 375 156 24 0
CDI 0 14 29 205 567 456 123 0
VCDI 0 38 82 231 1057 4040 8309 5491

Date: 2023-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58972 23072 2355 684 120 18 25 0
OW 52 259 214 363 219 8 7 0
VODI 0 120 140 451 367 70 10 0
ODI 0 34 53 230 466 143 21 0
CDI 0 14 31 142 599 396 157 0
VCDI 0 21 42 159 889 4519 9083 4575
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58972 22814 2300 754 265 43 28 0
OW 52 367 180 304 190 45 7 0
VODI 0 174 161 342 356 91 27 0
ODI 0 84 73 195 383 230 42 0
CDI 0 36 54 199 536 536 238 0
VCDI 0 45 67 235 930 4209 8961 4575

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52023 25906 6330 721 180 17 7 0
OW 52 336 254 284 163 18 2 0
VODI 0 172 218 339 293 46 5 0
ODI 0 55 104 310 327 91 21 0
CDI 0 26 54 229 518 291 151 0
VCDI 0 35 56 266 1461 4848 9074 3817
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52023 25378 6266 742 281 46 7 0
OW 52 540 207 236 220 35 3 0
VODI 0 286 219 269 315 88 4 0
ODI 0 111 123 248 241 136 34 0
CDI 0 85 77 223 387 262 164 0
VCDI 0 130 124 431 1498 4744 9048 3817


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