Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-16

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 325 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 70 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 10 9 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 18 43 26 1 0 0
CDI 0 65 14 38 83 47 16 0
VCDI 0 241 168 349 577 2497 8564 18659
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 324 22 26 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 1 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 46 25 15 20 4 0 0
ODI 0 43 25 46 28 10 0 0
CDI 0 46 26 42 38 54 11 0
VCDI 0 177 173 397 391 2201 8681 19150
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 332 35 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 11 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 11 34 30 1 0 0
ODI 0 21 20 53 35 32 1 0
CDI 0 39 13 32 61 59 83 1
VCDI 0 45 72 163 449 1223 11413 17737
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 391 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 5 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 37 20 27 22 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 15 60 24 23 0 0
CDI 0 40 19 63 23 86 74 1
VCDI 0 66 111 272 423 1408 9365 19432
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 386 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 20 20 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 29 17 58 27 16 0 0
CDI 0 39 14 58 16 78 77 1
VCDI 0 62 112 286 431 1423 9362 19432

Date: 2023-02-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 34 372 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 63 7 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 37 50 9 2 0 0
ODI 0 48 21 49 106 19 0 0
CDI 0 59 10 57 103 86 12 0
VCDI 0 195 92 331 430 1645 9230 18938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 33 353 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 2 64 7 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 87 29 37 3 1 0 0
ODI 0 56 26 50 96 16 0 0
CDI 0 52 12 60 111 78 9 0
VCDI 0 196 93 341 438 1657 9233 18938

Date: 2023-02-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 426 9 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 5 33 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 119 46 94 11 2 0 0
ODI 0 47 61 110 107 38 0 0
CDI 0 64 30 86 168 105 60 11
VCDI 0 75 51 228 433 1743 11047 16805
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 329 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 6 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 38 42 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 80 48 101 45 16 3 0
CDI 0 65 22 94 148 134 106 13
VCDI 0 157 87 308 526 1738 10998 16803

Date: 2023-02-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 337 39 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 7 14 6 1 0 0
VODI 0 24 24 53 46 5 0 0
ODI 0 4 36 102 100 18 6 0
CDI 0 2 26 89 168 95 23 8
VCDI 0 0 19 130 494 742 9522 19895
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 269 19 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 20 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 5 18 31 1 0 0
ODI 0 35 19 89 73 10 0 0
CDI 0 5 46 80 132 81 33 2
VCDI 0 0 42 200 578 769 9518 19901

Date: 2023-02-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 306 25 33 11 0 0 0
OW 0 42 5 6 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 47 12 11 4 0 0 0
ODI 0 42 9 22 27 19 0 0
CDI 0 64 11 27 82 94 43 1
VCDI 0 131 69 125 225 1132 11722 17732
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 287 19 22 2 0 0 0
OW 0 55 7 11 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 57 16 9 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 51 15 31 42 40 9 0
CDI 0 49 10 34 91 170 53 13
VCDI 0 133 64 117 205 1035 11703 17720


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