Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58057 23973 3661 667 175 23 14 0
OW 60 225 219 279 231 51 5 0
VODI 0 159 146 282 259 157 1 0
ODI 0 92 47 150 248 221 9 0
CDI 0 52 55 131 301 452 65 0
VCDI 0 6 45 224 837 3099 9880 4542
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52273 26562 7175 423 161 46 19 0
OW 51 405 251 231 129 55 4 0
VODI 0 218 161 369 185 132 13 0
ODI 0 114 86 230 213 185 37 0
CDI 0 43 79 129 376 303 161 0
VCDI 0 3 75 155 452 3901 11977 1718
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51939 25035 8919 666 163 37 18 0
OW 73 188 368 359 158 12 2 0
VODI 0 77 232 417 296 49 8 0
ODI 0 28 108 242 374 115 23 0
CDI 0 16 78 192 402 461 178 0
VCDI 0 22 59 355 1014 4839 9853 1725
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54629 22396 8484 637 140 28 1 0
OW 52 414 249 264 185 22 0 0
VODI 0 189 264 322 282 72 7 0
ODI 0 65 115 251 326 133 40 0
CDI 0 30 100 214 524 419 234 0
VCDI 0 6 386 599 1204 5195 8509 2113
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54628 22428 8515 639 148 29 1 0
OW 53 401 232 263 184 16 0 0
VODI 0 179 241 334 268 76 8 0
ODI 0 60 112 242 325 136 37 0
CDI 0 29 105 221 514 401 216 0
VCDI 0 3 393 588 1222 5211 8529 2113

Date: 2023-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55205 27339 3001 540 154 14 0 0
OW 51 423 174 271 195 40 1 0
VODI 0 291 173 288 272 93 7 0
ODI 0 115 84 193 284 137 25 0
CDI 0 81 83 158 343 408 156 0
VCDI 0 227 464 533 1116 4203 9343 2615
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55205 27343 3018 543 175 12 0 0
OW 51 414 176 277 174 36 1 0
VODI 0 290 168 287 258 101 9 0
ODI 0 118 77 196 297 134 29 0
CDI 0 77 85 147 326 381 167 0
VCDI 0 234 455 533 1134 4231 9326 2615

Date: 2023-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54427 25640 5312 656 130 23 0 0
OW 51 352 262 380 155 26 0 0
VODI 0 140 171 421 347 66 5 0
ODI 0 40 90 351 396 220 31 0
CDI 0 24 72 203 394 548 150 0
VCDI 0 202 174 444 900 3522 9664 3111
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54426 25317 5351 702 171 29 0 0
OW 52 329 158 317 180 30 3 0
VODI 0 275 124 302 264 90 18 0
ODI 0 123 74 193 262 174 41 0
CDI 0 75 87 163 297 356 120 0
VCDI 0 279 287 778 1148 3726 9668 3111

Date: 2023-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56547 24407 4309 608 151 33 4 0
OW 51 343 307 346 158 30 5 0
VODI 0 116 205 420 295 89 14 0
ODI 0 36 100 245 297 179 31 0
CDI 0 14 55 242 415 567 157 0
VCDI 0 53 216 445 1018 3757 9460 3375
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56546 24071 4302 649 189 39 5 0
OW 52 400 154 274 156 38 8 0
VODI 0 244 187 255 230 103 30 0
ODI 0 89 118 206 215 152 55 0
CDI 0 52 108 194 302 538 117 0
VCDI 0 113 323 728 1242 3785 9456 3375

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58420 20822 5805 599 149 30 2 0
OW 51 311 256 322 163 21 7 0
VODI 0 192 209 337 304 67 11 0
ODI 0 46 133 259 355 120 39 0
CDI 0 8 74 217 411 482 137 0
VCDI 0 16 322 665 1277 3705 10289 2467
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58419 20555 5750 686 206 33 2 0
OW 52 363 219 239 182 34 7 0
VODI 0 260 189 239 264 88 37 0
ODI 0 137 123 208 263 129 46 0
CDI 0 55 129 199 393 565 111 0
VCDI 0 25 389 828 1351 3576 10282 2467


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