Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-09

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58057 24260 3703 672 177 23 14 0
OW 60 262 240 281 231 51 5 0
VODI 0 176 174 305 277 157 1 0
ODI 0 97 71 168 301 245 12 0
CDI 0 59 89 144 385 598 141 5
VCDI 0 6 99 407 1118 4800 33194 55983
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52273 26781 7228 460 171 46 19 0
OW 51 444 267 231 129 55 4 0
VODI 0 256 170 383 186 132 13 0
ODI 0 134 93 239 226 218 37 0
CDI 0 54 98 140 408 420 214 0
VCDI 0 3 85 277 741 5547 36588 52227
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51939 25086 9219 708 163 37 18 0
OW 73 193 419 363 158 12 2 0
VODI 0 80 276 433 297 49 8 0
ODI 0 28 146 251 392 129 25 0
CDI 0 16 112 215 427 523 205 0
VCDI 0 22 143 505 1266 6841 33091 53178
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54629 22571 8725 637 140 28 1 0
OW 52 458 278 264 185 22 0 0
VODI 0 227 312 324 285 73 7 0
ODI 0 94 155 277 345 142 40 0
CDI 0 56 144 255 569 478 243 0
VCDI 0 67 605 904 1702 8110 28379 55265
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54628 22601 8756 639 148 29 1 0
OW 53 447 262 263 184 16 0 0
VODI 0 216 286 338 274 78 8 0
ODI 0 86 153 266 343 147 37 0
CDI 0 55 147 263 557 476 226 0
VCDI 0 68 615 892 1720 8107 28398 55265

Date: 2023-02-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55205 27718 3013 540 154 14 0 0
OW 51 488 174 271 195 40 1 0
VODI 0 356 194 299 292 95 7 0
ODI 0 163 122 232 300 140 25 0
CDI 0 125 129 215 405 472 168 0
VCDI 0 363 803 863 1682 7850 32565 51319
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55205 27718 3030 543 175 12 0 0
OW 51 480 176 277 174 36 1 0
VODI 0 354 198 315 283 105 9 0
ODI 0 164 107 235 317 139 29 0
CDI 0 120 124 197 368 446 184 0
VCDI 0 377 800 853 1711 7873 32543 51319

Date: 2023-02-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54427 25996 5336 679 137 23 0 0
OW 51 392 274 384 157 26 0 0
VODI 0 194 187 469 367 74 5 0
ODI 0 74 114 415 430 231 32 0
CDI 0 103 88 268 452 591 198 0
VCDI 0 280 223 678 1355 6311 33753 52274
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54426 25615 5373 725 178 29 0 0
OW 52 391 162 318 182 30 3 0
VODI 0 323 142 332 283 96 18 0
ODI 0 155 86 272 330 193 42 0
CDI 0 103 106 206 335 405 182 0
VCDI 0 452 353 1040 1590 6503 33743 52274

Date: 2023-02-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56547 24608 4475 608 151 33 4 0
OW 51 377 332 347 158 30 5 0
VODI 0 138 233 439 307 96 14 0
ODI 0 45 123 265 352 201 44 0
CDI 0 26 94 259 472 644 247 0
VCDI 0 73 260 566 1354 5316 33394 54360
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56546 24232 4457 649 189 39 5 0
OW 52 452 176 274 156 38 8 0
VODI 0 280 214 261 231 103 30 0
ODI 0 102 135 224 299 208 72 0
CDI 0 57 142 216 362 614 217 6
VCDI 0 144 393 860 1557 5318 33376 54354

Date: 2023-02-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58420 21106 5923 599 149 30 2 0
OW 51 351 280 325 163 21 7 0
VODI 0 229 244 376 337 74 11 0
ODI 0 85 145 322 388 168 39 0
CDI 0 50 88 279 444 592 165 8
VCDI 0 174 382 979 1662 5683 30843 55854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58419 20784 5850 686 206 33 2 0
OW 52 422 241 239 182 34 7 0
VODI 0 301 212 244 267 91 37 0
ODI 0 170 142 255 296 145 46 0
CDI 0 89 151 301 443 604 168 28
VCDI 0 229 466 1155 1749 5661 30807 55834


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