Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55096 25658 5416 1052 181 21 9 0
OW 63 189 199 278 215 49 16 0
VODI 0 145 115 339 298 118 20 0
ODI 0 63 82 257 432 175 36 0
CDI 0 12 56 189 454 360 162 0
VCDI 0 0 22 263 910 3800 9527 2823
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56323 24504 5769 532 78 22 21 0
OW 63 196 218 369 141 28 10 0
VODI 0 148 172 324 256 80 8 0
ODI 0 68 65 282 409 113 29 0
CDI 0 68 52 218 550 247 37 0
VCDI 0 32 86 389 1054 4002 9846 2291
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57821 23826 4793 483 106 20 0 0
OW 74 223 231 302 145 32 1 0
VODI 0 138 153 352 278 93 4 0
ODI 0 80 75 259 314 209 11 0
CDI 0 52 59 190 415 480 34 0
VCDI 0 9 48 210 934 3710 10534 2402
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53700 27599 4653 549 142 6 1 0
OW 60 170 287 285 209 24 6 0
VODI 0 137 132 303 312 102 2 0
ODI 0 78 44 181 293 170 0 0
CDI 0 48 57 124 415 417 22 0
VCDI 0 14 54 210 904 3831 9429 4130
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53700 27609 4669 590 161 12 5 0
OW 60 161 268 244 194 19 2 0
VODI 0 123 134 301 282 106 1 0
ODI 0 100 50 180 308 158 2 0
CDI 0 39 56 132 371 427 26 0
VCDI 0 14 50 205 959 3828 9424 4130

Date: 2023-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54586 23094 8265 529 178 29 26 0
OW 51 357 200 309 136 51 6 0
VODI 0 226 154 270 253 112 2 0
ODI 0 113 68 166 294 164 15 0
CDI 0 40 62 154 326 366 106 0
VCDI 0 6 44 199 524 3161 11901 2557
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54586 23118 8244 544 173 32 26 0
OW 51 320 224 298 134 48 6 0
VODI 0 225 143 266 231 104 3 0
ODI 0 123 77 158 287 155 21 0
CDI 0 41 64 164 346 357 125 0
VCDI 0 9 41 197 540 3187 11875 2557

Date: 2023-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52282 29068 4795 618 144 19 34 0
OW 75 340 225 326 131 14 6 0
VODI 0 143 162 370 376 46 6 0
ODI 0 48 70 166 459 119 12 0
CDI 0 11 69 131 400 397 156 0
VCDI 0 7 21 78 487 4491 10990 1808
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52297 28722 4712 636 166 24 38 0
OW 60 425 180 272 153 31 5 0
VODI 0 271 148 278 314 76 16 0
ODI 0 118 100 156 342 153 57 0
CDI 0 59 91 134 349 369 218 0
VCDI 0 22 111 213 673 4433 10870 1808

Date: 2023-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51367 24110 9926 877 174 47 6 0
OW 52 251 328 326 203 26 0 0
VODI 0 115 194 392 329 73 6 0
ODI 0 49 80 216 392 139 39 0
CDI 0 22 75 171 655 426 187 0
VCDI 0 14 208 400 1107 4259 9202 2657
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51367 23929 9731 857 209 49 6 0
OW 52 302 277 318 195 49 1 0
VODI 0 166 233 277 324 119 29 0
ODI 0 82 146 181 283 156 81 0
CDI 0 31 129 160 510 374 115 0
VCDI 0 51 295 589 1339 4223 9208 2657

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53683 24887 7035 518 88 5 0 0
OW 58 467 172 290 190 21 0 0
VODI 2 262 219 294 273 72 1 0
ODI 0 92 85 218 331 147 17 0
CDI 0 77 80 185 419 464 127 0
VCDI 0 80 516 534 1273 4838 9322 1758
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53676 24605 7028 611 155 16 2 0
OW 65 469 142 245 215 36 5 0
VODI 2 294 119 235 294 110 17 0
ODI 0 149 99 119 248 202 32 0
CDI 0 99 89 123 291 331 70 0
VCDI 0 249 630 706 1371 4852 9341 1758


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