Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 373 15 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 15 23 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 83 25 122 54 11 0 0
ODI 0 86 25 65 45 53 3 0
CDI 0 44 22 67 57 167 91 0
VCDI 0 103 68 178 689 2211 8600 18730
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 299 22 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 9 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 9 13 24 1 0 0
ODI 0 40 30 11 86 90 2 0
CDI 0 56 46 13 56 117 44 7
VCDI 0 89 67 154 302 1864 9014 19491
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 18 326 37 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 14 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 29 21 11 18 4 0 0
ODI 0 26 85 10 44 62 3 0
CDI 0 18 74 35 41 182 66 5
VCDI 0 17 69 147 206 873 9470 20129
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 314 36 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 6 9 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 3 12 27 3 0 0
ODI 0 31 5 9 47 41 0 0
CDI 0 27 29 8 98 103 51 0
VCDI 0 33 94 143 239 795 11267 18576
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 317 37 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 40 5 10 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 34 3 11 28 7 0 0
ODI 0 29 4 8 40 31 0 0
CDI 0 25 26 7 100 96 52 0
VCDI 0 35 98 144 241 808 11266 18576

Date: 2023-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 262 36 21 10 0 0 0
OW 0 43 10 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 36 11 14 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 10 15 63 11 0 0
CDI 0 7 22 18 69 82 19 0
VCDI 0 0 16 168 192 644 9670 20603
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 257 38 21 10 0 0 0
OW 0 54 12 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 8 21 8 0 0 0
ODI 0 22 9 9 79 19 0 0
CDI 0 7 19 15 46 88 22 0
VCDI 0 0 19 170 196 630 9667 20603

Date: 2023-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 284 50 39 13 0 0 0
OW 0 31 6 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 25 13 10 5 0 0 0
ODI 0 9 17 9 8 29 6 0
CDI 0 0 15 32 6 27 35 0
VCDI 0 0 0 85 141 430 8155 22595
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 208 43 37 13 0 0 0
OW 0 50 8 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 8 11 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 28 7 6 10 6 0 0
CDI 0 22 9 7 5 58 113 0
VCDI 0 1 26 118 145 422 8083 22595

Date: 2023-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 334 57 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 52 15 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 13 16 1 0 0 0
ODI 0 37 21 24 33 0 0 0
CDI 0 34 23 24 67 31 13 0
VCDI 0 98 129 208 511 1619 8498 20161
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 282 42 14 0 0 0 0
OW 0 50 11 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 49 13 2 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 12 24 24 0 0 0
CDI 0 41 22 28 75 97 25 0
VCDI 0 135 158 218 513 1553 8486 20161

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 325 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 70 1 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 83 10 9 14 0 0 0
ODI 0 70 18 43 26 1 0 0
CDI 0 65 14 38 83 47 16 0
VCDI 0 241 168 349 577 2497 8564 18659
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93 242 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 1 51 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 65 1 1 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 2 1 4 0 9 0
CDI 0 76 18 30 30 33 50 2
VCDI 0 353 190 407 666 2512 8521 18657


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