Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-02-02

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55096 26031 5431 1052 181 21 9 0
OW 63 243 214 301 217 50 16 0
VODI 0 228 140 461 352 129 20 0
ODI 0 149 107 322 477 228 41 0
CDI 0 56 78 256 511 557 289 0
VCDI 0 104 91 453 1649 6991 29326 55108
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56323 24803 5791 533 78 22 21 0
OW 63 254 227 381 141 28 10 0
VODI 0 203 181 337 280 81 10 0
ODI 0 108 95 293 501 218 45 0
CDI 0 124 98 233 614 425 105 7
VCDI 0 121 153 562 1408 6711 32349 53111
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 57839 24152 4830 484 106 20 0 0
OW 74 254 245 312 145 32 1 0
VODI 0 167 174 363 296 97 7 0
ODI 0 106 160 269 367 287 42 0
CDI 0 70 134 229 496 728 145 8
VCDI 0 26 117 377 1207 5550 36585 50547
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-02-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53700 27913 4689 550 142 6 1 0
OW 60 212 293 294 209 24 6 0
VODI 0 170 135 315 339 105 2 0
ODI 0 109 49 190 342 234 19 0
CDI 0 77 86 136 545 580 119 0
VCDI 0 47 151 379 1267 5631 37402 50520
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53700 27926 4706 592 161 12 5 0
OW 60 201 273 254 196 19 2 0
VODI 0 157 137 312 310 113 1 0
ODI 0 129 54 188 350 213 22 0
CDI 0 66 82 143 500 583 127 0
VCDI 0 49 151 375 1327 5640 37392 50520

Date: 2023-02-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54586 23356 8301 550 188 29 26 0
OW 51 400 210 309 136 51 6 0
VODI 0 262 165 284 258 112 2 0
ODI 0 138 78 181 357 175 15 0
CDI 0 47 84 172 409 456 145 0
VCDI 0 6 60 377 805 4922 36862 52477
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54586 23375 8282 565 183 32 26 0
OW 51 374 236 298 134 48 6 0
VODI 0 258 151 287 239 104 3 0
ODI 0 145 86 167 366 174 23 0
CDI 0 48 83 179 405 454 162 0
VCDI 0 9 60 377 826 4933 36836 52477

Date: 2023-02-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52282 29352 4845 657 157 19 34 0
OW 75 371 231 333 131 14 6 0
VODI 0 168 175 380 381 46 6 0
ODI 0 57 87 175 467 148 18 0
CDI 0 11 84 163 414 435 192 0
VCDI 0 7 21 163 731 6406 34936 52870
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 52297 28930 4755 673 179 24 38 0
OW 60 475 188 275 153 31 5 0
VODI 0 311 156 289 314 76 16 0
ODI 0 146 107 162 352 159 57 0
CDI 0 81 100 141 362 435 334 0
VCDI 0 23 137 331 921 6343 34742 52870

Date: 2023-02-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51367 24444 9983 891 174 47 6 0
OW 52 303 343 326 203 26 0 0
VODI 0 164 207 408 330 73 6 0
ODI 0 86 101 240 425 139 39 0
CDI 0 56 98 195 722 479 207 0
VCDI 0 112 337 608 1628 6895 30644 54684
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 51367 24211 9773 871 209 49 6 0
OW 52 352 288 318 195 49 1 0
VODI 0 215 246 279 324 119 29 0
ODI 0 129 158 205 307 156 81 0
CDI 0 72 151 188 585 482 141 0
VCDI 0 186 453 807 1862 6804 30644 54684

Date: 2023-02-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53776 25212 7035 518 88 5 0 0
OW 59 537 173 290 190 21 0 0
VODI 2 345 229 303 287 72 1 0
ODI 0 162 103 261 357 148 17 0
CDI 0 142 94 224 502 512 144 0
VCDI 0 321 684 890 1902 8331 29857 53254
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53769 24847 7028 611 155 16 2 0
OW 66 520 142 245 215 36 5 0
VODI 2 359 120 236 294 110 17 0
ODI 0 216 101 120 252 202 41 0
CDI 0 175 107 153 321 367 127 2
VCDI 0 602 820 1121 2089 8358 29827 53252


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