Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55932 24947 6587 217 80 27 25 0
OW 74 567 261 221 61 23 11 0
VODI 0 391 201 381 174 56 12 0
ODI 0 161 90 284 202 110 17 0
CDI 0 96 65 265 241 189 33 0
VCDI 0 91 138 469 1004 2741 8362 4294
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58991 23993 3983 336 105 11 0 0
OW 73 486 293 374 138 41 0 0
VODI 0 352 235 437 337 107 5 0
ODI 0 195 103 259 259 127 6 0
CDI 0 119 89 232 279 191 57 0
VCDI 0 125 139 373 834 2850 9190 3376
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53709 25829 7576 734 125 8 0 0
OW 62 250 178 363 144 25 0 0
VODI 0 186 116 456 494 65 1 0
ODI 0 108 74 215 459 173 0 0
CDI 0 71 99 247 403 470 128 0
VCDI 0 34 83 305 723 3925 10081 1181
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54605 25451 6792 618 104 13 2 0
OW 73 178 200 320 182 23 6 0
VODI 0 163 121 367 448 50 16 0
ODI 0 70 71 258 509 138 17 0
CDI 0 20 57 218 474 353 107 0
VCDI 0 0 16 304 892 4010 9473 2381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54604 25453 6800 642 117 14 5 0
OW 74 171 182 275 171 24 7 0
VODI 0 150 133 352 412 58 15 0
ODI 0 79 64 277 512 138 18 0
CDI 0 28 59 224 480 332 109 0
VCDI 0 1 19 315 917 4021 9467 2381

Date: 2023-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53097 27128 6307 602 191 22 9 0
OW 69 190 160 298 224 59 5 0
VODI 0 150 105 315 308 107 11 0
ODI 0 87 72 199 390 221 22 0
CDI 0 45 59 139 470 379 54 0
VCDI 0 24 95 340 941 4691 8577 2938
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53097 27134 6323 611 153 25 9 0
OW 69 176 143 276 260 48 3 0
VODI 0 143 103 311 259 114 15 0
ODI 0 99 74 214 375 207 23 0
CDI 0 44 68 148 484 365 48 0
VCDI 0 28 87 333 993 4720 8580 2938

Date: 2023-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54926 25067 6687 441 75 6 4 0
OW 74 252 239 333 131 21 9 0
VODI 0 135 192 407 292 52 12 0
ODI 0 80 89 299 480 197 20 0
CDI 0 26 50 202 509 502 55 0
VCDI 0 8 22 149 817 3824 10492 1924
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54924 24932 6653 445 114 17 16 0
OW 76 232 200 244 139 31 8 0
VODI 0 163 149 300 220 104 23 0
ODI 0 99 91 216 270 156 27 0
CDI 0 57 67 198 401 368 65 0
VCDI 0 85 119 428 1160 3926 10453 1924

Date: 2023-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53123 27176 5941 456 98 14 3 0
OW 76 189 238 316 184 27 3 0
VODI 0 127 127 352 308 96 0 0
ODI 0 69 70 214 295 182 8 0
CDI 0 54 48 175 358 427 49 0
VCDI 0 21 52 240 914 3252 9658 4160
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53139 27005 5871 505 174 30 4 0
OW 60 255 212 242 180 54 1 0
VODI 0 158 132 257 221 135 9 0
ODI 0 78 88 210 229 192 32 0
CDI 0 64 66 165 300 378 72 0
VCDI 0 76 107 374 1053 3209 9603 4160

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58057 23973 3661 667 175 23 14 0
OW 60 225 219 279 231 51 5 0
VODI 0 159 146 282 259 157 1 0
ODI 0 92 47 150 248 221 9 0
CDI 0 52 55 131 301 452 65 0
VCDI 0 6 45 224 837 3099 9880 4542
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58057 23794 3612 771 322 103 14 0
OW 60 295 205 186 193 69 8 0
VODI 0 180 154 180 269 158 10 0
ODI 0 128 85 154 208 216 28 0
CDI 0 74 55 146 210 444 59 0
VCDI 0 36 62 296 849 3013 9855 4542


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