Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 171 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 48 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 68 21 24 6 0 0
ODI 0 16 43 9 33 19 0 0
CDI 0 32 51 29 60 87 3 2
VCDI 0 105 159 196 432 1584 7396 21362
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 27 267 5 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 66 12 8 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 71 12 44 23 4 0 0
ODI 0 57 20 22 30 10 0 0
CDI 0 77 20 54 61 56 18 0
VCDI 0 205 87 290 596 1639 8083 20217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 41 389 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 100 25 15 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 94 25 91 57 0 0 0
ODI 0 46 22 62 45 6 0 0
CDI 0 40 19 80 88 69 10 1
VCDI 0 175 96 292 691 2060 7882 19550
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 400 4 0 1 0 0 0
OW 0 64 23 58 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 136 45 105 47 21 2 0
ODI 0 66 31 47 52 43 0 0
CDI 0 46 21 77 73 120 66 0
VCDI 0 120 108 338 623 2312 8492 18533
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 398 7 1 2 0 0 0
OW 0 54 18 49 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 105 39 116 43 17 2 0
ODI 0 88 35 49 50 45 0 0
CDI 0 72 27 70 70 113 70 3
VCDI 0 115 106 340 634 2321 8488 18530

Date: 2023-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 327 24 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 63 16 16 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 6 33 86 1 0 0
ODI 0 69 31 44 78 37 3 0
CDI 0 59 22 42 79 125 38 6
VCDI 0 89 65 153 464 2109 9850 18074
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 5 323 27 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 59 12 12 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 4 33 93 1 0 0
ODI 0 49 17 39 81 35 2 0
CDI 0 69 24 33 73 139 39 7
VCDI 0 119 80 168 460 2097 9850 18073

Date: 2023-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 90 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 29 18 9 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 44 76 13 24 7 0 0
ODI 0 46 47 18 48 71 3 0
CDI 0 49 32 87 94 178 67 0
VCDI 0 29 42 59 153 1069 8012 21345
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 236 65 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 10 8 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 18 9 21 7 0 0
ODI 0 28 22 5 35 142 9 0
CDI 0 22 35 5 20 84 68 5
VCDI 0 134 155 159 242 1092 8005 21340

Date: 2023-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 316 44 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 31 13 8 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 23 19 6 20 5 0 0
ODI 0 14 30 13 29 50 3 0
CDI 0 19 78 13 49 213 61 1
VCDI 0 46 69 161 236 829 12351 17327
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 253 27 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 37 18 8 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 38 17 2 17 4 0 0
ODI 0 35 11 5 36 123 4 0
CDI 0 17 36 11 21 105 49 3
VCDI 0 69 144 174 257 865 12362 17325

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 287 42 5 2 0 0 0
OW 0 37 21 2 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 17 28 23 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 5 24 18 53 24 1 0
CDI 0 7 34 12 68 101 28 5
VCDI 0 0 54 158 205 708 9069 21026
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 243 31 5 2 0 0 0
OW 0 51 20 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 30 30 26 21 3 0 0
ODI 0 12 27 19 69 33 6 0
CDI 0 14 36 10 46 85 50 0
VCDI 0 3 59 158 208 712 9042 21031


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