Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-01-26

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55932 25026 6758 223 80 27 25 0
OW 74 589 309 230 63 23 11 0
VODI 0 399 269 402 198 62 12 0
ODI 0 177 133 293 236 131 18 0
CDI 0 128 116 294 312 328 136 7
VCDI 0 196 297 668 1497 5208 30514 55647
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 59018 24260 3988 336 105 11 0 0
OW 73 552 305 382 139 41 0 0
VODI 0 423 247 481 360 111 5 0
ODI 0 252 123 281 291 144 6 0
CDI 0 196 109 286 359 387 120 0
VCDI 0 330 226 663 1479 5676 31595 53688
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53750 26218 7585 734 125 8 0 0
OW 62 350 203 378 146 25 0 0
VODI 0 280 141 547 551 65 1 0
ODI 0 154 96 277 504 179 0 0
CDI 0 111 118 327 495 606 145 1
VCDI 0 209 179 597 1432 7228 30984 52237
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54605 25851 6796 618 105 13 2 0
OW 73 242 223 378 190 23 6 0
VODI 0 299 166 472 495 71 18 0
ODI 0 136 102 305 561 181 17 0
CDI 0 66 78 295 550 556 183 0
VCDI 0 120 124 661 1602 7515 31971 51379
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54604 25851 6807 643 119 14 5 0
OW 74 225 200 324 176 24 7 0
VODI 0 255 172 468 455 75 17 0
ODI 0 167 99 326 562 183 18 0
CDI 0 100 86 295 553 522 191 3
VCDI 0 116 125 673 1638 7541 31959 51376

Date: 2023-01-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53102 27455 6331 602 191 22 9 0
OW 69 253 176 314 224 59 5 0
VODI 0 218 111 348 394 108 11 0
ODI 0 156 103 243 468 258 43 0
CDI 0 104 81 182 550 559 138 6
VCDI 0 113 160 518 1459 7868 33782 50255
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53102 27457 6350 614 153 25 9 0
OW 69 235 155 288 260 48 3 0
VODI 0 199 107 344 352 115 15 0
ODI 0 148 91 253 456 242 40 0
CDI 0 113 92 182 560 564 129 7
VCDI 0 147 167 526 1505 7880 33792 50254

Date: 2023-01-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54926 25383 6777 445 75 6 4 0
OW 74 281 257 342 134 21 9 0
VODI 0 179 268 420 316 59 12 0
ODI 0 126 136 317 528 289 35 0
CDI 0 75 82 289 604 753 159 2
VCDI 0 37 64 210 1013 5658 31297 55386
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54924 25168 6718 449 114 17 16 0
OW 76 274 210 252 143 31 8 0
VODI 0 214 167 309 241 111 23 0
ODI 0 127 113 221 305 322 50 0
CDI 0 79 102 203 422 533 167 8
VCDI 0 219 274 589 1445 5772 31252 55380

Date: 2023-02-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53123 27492 5985 460 98 14 3 0
OW 76 220 251 324 185 27 3 0
VODI 0 150 146 358 328 106 7 0
ODI 0 83 100 227 327 261 25 0
CDI 0 75 126 191 450 736 147 1
VCDI 0 67 121 421 1273 5161 36210 51690
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 53139 27258 5898 510 174 30 4 0
OW 60 292 230 250 184 54 1 0
VODI 0 196 149 259 238 139 11 0
ODI 0 113 99 215 270 346 49 0
CDI 0 83 102 179 367 553 151 3
VCDI 0 145 251 568 1428 5183 36179 51688

Date: 2023-02-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58057 24260 3703 672 177 23 14 0
OW 60 262 240 281 231 51 5 0
VODI 0 176 174 305 277 157 1 0
ODI 0 97 71 168 301 245 12 0
CDI 0 59 89 144 385 598 141 5
VCDI 0 6 99 407 1118 4800 33194 55983
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58057 24037 3643 776 324 103 14 0
OW 60 346 225 186 193 69 8 0
VODI 0 210 184 206 290 161 10 0
ODI 0 140 112 173 277 249 35 0
CDI 0 88 91 160 270 558 173 0
VCDI 0 39 121 476 1135 4734 33127 55988


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