Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-19

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 221 10 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 5 3 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 4 5 8 4 0 0
ODI 0 32 10 6 5 21 0 0
CDI 0 27 23 23 2 57 30 0
VCDI 0 19 93 200 200 801 6940 23218
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 198 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 8 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 51 9 8 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 45 6 3 15 16 0 0
CDI 0 48 17 4 7 77 6 0
VCDI 0 96 112 168 225 787 8540 21560
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 77 182 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 10 55 7 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 2 57 18 18 0 0 0
ODI 0 6 52 0 14 30 0 0
CDI 0 27 50 7 23 69 9 1
VCDI 0 34 251 166 318 1208 7581 21808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 234 23 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 15 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 17 12 22 5 0 0
ODI 0 53 1 6 8 30 0 0
CDI 0 65 6 16 29 65 2 11
VCDI 0 131 142 193 396 1727 7761 20986
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 249 26 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 60 16 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 14 11 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 56 2 12 17 22 0 0
CDI 0 56 8 16 31 56 2 11
VCDI 0 120 138 191 398 1748 7761 20986

Date: 2023-01-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 267 19 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 55 21 11 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 18 41 25 6 0 0
ODI 0 56 14 18 38 11 0 0
CDI 0 71 25 57 77 41 11 0
VCDI 0 122 198 286 552 1905 7650 20424
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 279 17 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 57 30 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 68 17 42 12 0 0 0
ODI 0 67 10 26 48 9 0 0
CDI 0 70 31 59 82 42 13 0
VCDI 0 92 190 282 551 1912 7648 20424

Date: 2023-01-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 344 90 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 95 5 10 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 64 27 64 40 3 0 0
ODI 0 45 9 58 54 7 0 0
CDI 0 51 11 59 64 73 15 0
VCDI 0 141 81 219 375 1753 6815 21509
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 265 74 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 78 11 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 69 11 39 13 0 0 0
ODI 0 58 14 34 50 18 4 0
CDI 0 71 26 55 64 65 47 0
VCDI 0 199 87 280 406 1753 6779 21509

Date: 2023-01-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 424 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 81 30 35 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 29 96 65 3 0 0
ODI 0 54 23 54 62 23 0 0
CDI 0 45 17 85 83 81 39 5
VCDI 0 158 114 329 736 2418 7819 19020
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 382 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 61 14 2 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 100 25 53 55 10 0 0
ODI 0 64 33 68 58 54 2 0
CDI 0 78 29 109 77 90 40 40
VCDI 0 212 119 367 764 2371 7816 18985

Date: 2023-01-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 373 15 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 54 15 23 2 1 0 0
VODI 0 83 25 122 54 11 0 0
ODI 0 86 25 65 45 53 3 0
CDI 0 44 22 67 57 167 91 0
VCDI 0 103 68 178 689 2211 8600 18730
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 283 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 12 1 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 67 17 46 7 25 0 0
ODI 0 60 15 59 54 76 24 0
CDI 0 76 28 112 51 129 139 6
VCDI 0 206 96 237 734 2213 8531 18724


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