Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 228 28 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 3 0 1 12 0 0
VODI 0 69 20 2 34 96 3 0
ODI 0 29 23 20 33 114 4 0
CDI 0 7 18 71 48 141 17 0
VCDI 0 7 49 121 259 941 5609 24011
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 44 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 16 6 0 33 5 0
ODI 0 29 19 13 29 104 24 0
CDI 0 8 17 50 53 130 87 0
VCDI 0 5 33 78 236 861 5314 24607
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 275 16 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 58 7 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 43 16 5 0 0 0 0
ODI 0 19 20 9 6 4 0 0
CDI 0 12 37 27 29 106 47 3
VCDI 0 2 27 119 129 530 7503 23033
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 240 8 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 10 5 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 14 8 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 21 15 13 4 14 2 0
CDI 0 19 16 41 16 42 46 0
VCDI 0 2 63 174 166 574 6990 23477
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 249 9 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 42 8 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 39 17 10 7 1 0 0
ODI 0 21 14 13 5 15 2 0
CDI 0 21 16 33 15 32 45 0
VCDI 0 2 62 182 168 583 6991 23477

Date: 2023-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 212 12 3 0 0 0 0
OW 0 46 2 5 1 0 0 0
VODI 0 60 3 8 7 2 0 0
ODI 0 38 14 0 15 16 0 0
CDI 0 32 23 10 8 72 19 0
VCDI 0 70 88 214 202 731 11627 18542
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 222 11 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 43 5 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 59 1 8 8 2 0 0
ODI 0 33 17 2 13 16 1 0
CDI 0 34 21 8 9 68 19 0
VCDI 0 67 87 216 203 735 11626 18542

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 32 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 51 6 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 4 12 17 1 0 0
ODI 0 41 7 1 16 29 0 0
CDI 0 36 21 8 13 55 14 2
VCDI 0 63 129 151 241 788 7969 22065
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 192 15 4 0 0 0 0
OW 0 49 12 3 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 10 12 3 0 0 0
ODI 0 47 7 4 26 12 5 0
CDI 0 60 16 6 15 69 21 3
VCDI 0 89 139 153 243 792 7957 22064

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 237 25 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 47 18 8 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 45 18 26 16 2 0 0
ODI 0 42 16 2 21 21 0 0
CDI 0 55 22 11 48 51 6 10
VCDI 0 94 243 193 400 1640 7129 21636
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 200 12 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 14 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 58 16 22 16 7 0 0
ODI 0 45 20 14 23 10 0 0
CDI 0 53 26 22 64 61 2 9
VCDI 0 100 254 178 382 1636 7133 21637

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 79 171 6 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 48 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 8 68 21 24 6 0 0
ODI 0 16 43 9 33 19 0 0
CDI 0 32 51 29 60 87 3 2
VCDI 0 105 159 196 432 1584 7396 21362
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 81 186 7 0 0 0 0
OW 0 22 64 10 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 14 63 32 48 17 0 0
ODI 0 15 45 29 58 22 0 0
CDI 0 30 42 32 66 143 29 0
VCDI 0 100 140 160 376 1514 7370 21364


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