Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2023-01-12

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58266 25362 4977 316 175 93 84 0
OW 71 616 236 268 93 35 17 0
VODI 0 375 200 342 264 167 81 0
ODI 0 200 137 185 274 254 70 0
CDI 0 129 131 300 452 566 183 8
VCDI 0 83 169 498 1113 5386 31501 53371
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63858 20980 3364 366 188 79 109 0
OW 72 610 285 207 148 27 19 0
VODI 0 340 267 293 252 146 68 0
ODI 0 150 167 233 211 233 119 0
CDI 0 90 117 373 399 430 234 6
VCDI 0 71 147 500 1186 4593 25668 60443
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55839 25210 7942 252 114 66 80 0
OW 61 433 408 224 55 25 20 0
VODI 0 255 335 441 168 55 17 0
ODI 0 91 131 274 349 64 19 0
CDI 0 58 121 279 386 336 163 3
VCDI 0 59 81 375 941 4327 29662 57329
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2023-01-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56150 25191 7224 212 91 77 73 0
OW 65 595 385 164 75 23 40 0
VODI 1 375 295 352 171 61 25 0
ODI 0 120 144 297 255 86 31 0
CDI 0 78 85 241 320 329 188 0
VCDI 0 38 186 613 1199 5497 36099 49597
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56152 25183 7244 239 89 75 82 0
OW 64 591 364 151 89 32 31 0
VODI 0 359 264 310 142 56 25 0
ODI 0 140 165 284 235 88 30 0
CDI 0 81 94 262 328 307 180 0
VCDI 0 43 188 633 1228 5515 36108 49597

Date: 2023-01-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58145 22473 7020 431 81 70 49 0
OW 62 711 319 231 75 41 28 0
VODI 0 478 350 329 181 51 28 0
ODI 0 116 268 260 248 89 28 0
CDI 0 58 114 258 380 334 144 0
VCDI 0 83 217 644 1338 5734 40092 45490
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 58142 22385 7024 450 93 79 63 0
OW 65 751 296 220 70 35 19 0
VODI 0 468 321 310 179 48 22 0
ODI 0 174 265 212 199 91 32 0
CDI 0 62 161 255 361 315 155 0
VCDI 0 79 221 706 1401 5751 40078 45490

Date: 2023-01-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54778 26356 6548 338 79 18 26 0
OW 63 415 448 340 91 22 8 0
VODI 0 208 352 537 310 70 17 0
ODI 0 115 124 354 419 146 18 0
CDI 0 76 82 199 471 379 89 3
VCDI 0 94 189 441 1351 6751 33368 51355
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 54777 26159 6268 357 110 63 37 0
OW 64 382 406 210 109 43 29 0
VODI 0 303 461 376 204 74 31 0
ODI 0 145 178 299 283 88 39 0
CDI 0 121 140 247 325 275 149 7
VCDI 0 154 290 720 1690 6843 33241 51351

Date: 2023-01-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56619 24701 6020 549 64 38 26 0
OW 63 450 430 336 73 19 5 0
VODI 0 322 265 497 192 84 11 0
ODI 0 178 112 298 263 136 13 0
CDI 0 159 86 260 332 331 44 10
VCDI 0 140 379 596 1659 6713 31955 52620
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 56619 24466 5892 555 94 87 44 0
OW 63 471 322 214 57 60 15 0
VODI 0 429 347 462 166 103 14 0
ODI 0 243 171 317 188 126 22 0
CDI 0 151 137 271 335 335 91 13
VCDI 0 190 423 717 1743 6610 31868 52617

Date: 2023-01-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55932 25026 6758 223 80 27 25 0
OW 74 589 309 230 63 23 11 0
VODI 0 399 269 402 198 62 12 0
ODI 0 177 133 293 236 131 18 0
CDI 0 128 116 294 312 328 136 7
VCDI 0 196 297 668 1497 5208 30514 55647
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 55932 24751 6671 231 119 75 58 0
OW 74 598 271 160 73 53 9 0
VODI 0 542 357 353 222 76 9 0
ODI 0 267 166 294 212 107 17 0
CDI 0 161 137 323 254 359 167 0
VCDI 0 196 280 749 1506 5109 30456 55654


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