Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68108 17254 4470 302 182 327 13 0
OW 63 297 250 246 94 58 10 0
VODI 0 137 138 238 218 68 12 0
ODI 0 38 50 168 251 110 11 0
CDI 0 23 20 92 287 235 41 0
VCDI 0 4 25 97 621 4380 8229 1933
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64355 20537 4550 334 178 397 28 0
OW 55 330 246 191 130 41 28 0
VODI 0 160 138 263 204 67 27 0
ODI 0 46 30 155 190 130 22 0
CDI 0 29 21 80 233 315 43 0
VCDI 0 10 26 78 327 3435 6972 4699
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63862 23420 2410 270 125 312 25 0
OW 65 321 201 208 92 69 8 0
VODI 0 129 152 251 171 48 16 0
ODI 0 47 61 148 228 109 18 0
CDI 0 25 28 67 236 300 44 0
VCDI 0 18 47 99 328 3682 6377 5083
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63739 21875 3569 270 174 368 39 0
OW 59 645 147 131 46 88 13 0
VODI 0 343 137 225 106 80 7 0
ODI 0 113 86 166 204 99 8 0
CDI 0 46 64 149 241 265 30 0
VCDI 0 61 50 188 852 3889 9674 854
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 63739 22021 3579 282 181 383 41 0
OW 59 518 152 135 46 91 13 0
VODI 0 297 126 229 113 68 6 0
ODI 0 119 67 143 193 104 10 0
CDI 0 66 66 140 221 266 33 0
VCDI 0 62 63 200 869 3877 9668 854

Date: 2022-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67320 17103 4469 338 158 309 30 0
OW 119 707 137 102 62 81 16 0
VODI 8 384 185 199 106 82 10 0
ODI 0 165 92 187 146 67 12 0
CDI 0 62 69 179 224 164 32 0
VCDI 0 39 112 299 1021 3153 9827 1325
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67323 17226 4491 367 165 338 32 0
OW 116 608 116 96 55 69 17 0
VODI 8 332 169 196 108 79 7 0
ODI 0 162 96 170 158 58 15 0
CDI 0 85 59 157 194 165 34 0
VCDI 0 47 133 318 1037 3147 9822 1325

Date: 2023-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62687 21051 5281 395 155 160 4 0
OW 98 504 153 197 99 70 39 0
VODI 2 325 90 241 164 113 44 0
ODI 0 199 77 157 154 161 30 0
CDI 0 110 132 133 258 281 50 0
VCDI 0 127 180 334 732 2392 9832 1889
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62675 20585 5237 391 195 281 81 0
OW 109 553 131 136 79 98 20 0
VODI 3 616 132 184 119 115 24 0
ODI 0 217 78 189 111 102 25 0
CDI 0 195 101 163 207 217 35 0
VCDI 0 150 234 394 851 2364 9814 1889

Date: 2023-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61946 23800 2776 485 158 163 33 0
OW 92 440 293 232 71 52 21 0
VODI 2 226 257 346 115 86 66 0
ODI 0 142 148 224 147 138 46 0
CDI 0 101 113 258 226 250 96 0
VCDI 0 109 132 419 718 2138 9333 2702
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 61944 23416 2640 407 186 261 146 0
OW 85 466 276 211 57 70 52 0
VODI 11 353 305 479 101 84 33 0
ODI 0 176 129 232 134 93 42 0
CDI 0 224 152 185 185 145 79 0
VCDI 0 183 217 450 772 2174 9243 2702

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60713 23788 3848 316 175 93 84 0
OW 71 557 228 268 92 23 17 0
VODI 0 306 180 340 222 54 78 0
ODI 0 176 111 163 227 114 65 0
CDI 0 121 113 227 375 250 100 0
VCDI 0 78 117 367 705 2685 10346 1307
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60713 23249 3745 303 220 152 197 0
OW 71 568 225 200 74 59 79 0
VODI 0 466 191 335 262 65 47 0
ODI 0 214 131 176 228 63 36 0
CDI 0 299 110 172 266 108 64 0
VCDI 0 230 195 495 746 2772 10267 1307


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