Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 692 134 79 30 46 8 0
OW 0 46 40 50 25 9 16 0
VODI 0 18 45 86 71 21 9 0
ODI 0 0 8 68 71 70 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 30 48 202 152 15
VCDI 0 0 0 32 177 993 13446 15331
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 513 177 81 42 9 3 0
OW 0 58 68 40 29 9 14 0
VODI 0 35 73 50 34 32 9 0
ODI 0 16 15 93 86 47 8 0
CDI 0 7 22 40 91 182 41 8
VCDI 0 2 69 105 196 1189 11418 17171
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 597 119 68 5 0 0 0
OW 0 16 47 89 57 9 0 0
VODI 0 13 18 73 76 33 0 0
ODI 0 5 11 37 62 60 9 0
CDI 0 0 10 36 52 192 34 4
VCDI 0 0 13 146 113 607 11616 17855
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 393 232 80 28 9 0 0
OW 0 47 71 52 39 15 0 0
VODI 0 27 62 52 62 43 0 0
ODI 0 9 45 23 39 81 0 0
CDI 0 4 42 30 33 164 45 0
VCDI 0 0 29 207 139 854 9289 19837
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 382 239 84 26 13 0 0
OW 0 53 72 63 50 15 0 0
VODI 0 30 54 41 57 37 0 0
ODI 0 12 47 21 39 82 0 0
CDI 0 3 40 31 28 155 49 0
VCDI 0 0 29 204 140 864 9285 19837

Date: 2022-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 445 107 60 30 6 0 0
OW 0 110 90 82 26 28 0 0
VODI 0 86 64 82 83 33 0 0
ODI 0 46 41 58 49 62 4 0
CDI 0 39 45 35 125 178 60 0
VCDI 0 38 224 185 284 1311 9457 18509
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 461 131 76 34 14 0 0
OW 0 112 78 73 24 21 0 0
VODI 0 66 57 85 80 35 0 0
ODI 0 47 44 46 77 55 6 0
CDI 0 44 49 32 105 189 69 0
VCDI 0 34 212 190 277 1304 9446 18509

Date: 2023-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 341 84 37 11 0 0 0
OW 0 60 39 104 49 0 0 0
VODI 0 54 66 122 91 18 0 0
ODI 0 19 31 74 111 58 0 0
CDI 0 30 13 65 129 152 29 0
VCDI 0 92 106 319 254 893 8110 20521
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 297 47 79 71 19 0 0
OW 0 62 73 95 47 14 0 0
VODI 0 88 60 88 94 49 1 0
ODI 0 43 40 60 86 73 5 0
CDI 0 42 23 70 109 161 75 0
VCDI 0 64 96 329 238 805 8058 20521

Date: 2023-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 276 30 5 4 0 0 0
OW 0 69 17 14 67 1 0 0
VODI 0 34 33 59 132 0 0 0
ODI 0 23 31 60 123 16 0 0
CDI 0 25 22 76 116 118 13 2
VCDI 0 45 37 119 328 907 6334 22936
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 10 284 27 5 117 2 0 0
OW 0 58 24 16 102 15 0 0
VODI 0 38 36 78 123 58 4 0
ODI 0 39 28 69 58 84 10 0
CDI 0 42 34 58 67 187 33 0
VCDI 0 11 21 107 303 696 6300 22938

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 238 18 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 64 3 0 1 12 0 0
VODI 0 69 20 2 34 96 3 0
ODI 0 29 23 20 33 114 4 0
CDI 0 7 18 71 48 141 17 0
VCDI 0 7 49 121 259 941 5609 24011
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 279 20 0 0 81 6 0
OW 0 56 4 2 19 93 14 0
VODI 0 46 19 8 44 153 21 0
ODI 0 15 28 32 9 102 27 0
CDI 0 8 19 70 49 115 54 14
VCDI 0 10 41 102 254 760 5511 23997


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