Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-29

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 6 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 12 47 37 2 0 0
VODI 0 12 27 93 91 24 5 0
ODI 0 16 22 148 347 250 24 0
CDI 0 6 3 61 396 816 208 0
VCDI 0 1 1 22 209 2474 16069 24415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 34 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 113 57 44 16 12 0 0
VODI 0 104 207 146 58 51 0 0
ODI 0 60 127 262 218 88 0 0
CDI 0 15 71 260 426 293 29 5
VCDI 0 3 1 62 482 2894 14340 25386
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 33 2 9 0 0 0 0
OW 0 82 40 33 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 40 92 284 162 23 0 0
ODI 0 24 66 217 280 206 23 0
CDI 0 1 1 86 298 382 61 0
VCDI 0 0 0 30 521 2682 13884 26299
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 17 17 33 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 42 87 117 29 0 0
ODI 0 0 19 169 343 153 38 0
CDI 0 0 1 71 289 287 186 16
VCDI 0 1 1 11 210 2540 13384 27769
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 18 8 9 14 0 0 0
OW 0 16 20 51 26 2 0 0
VODI 0 3 34 80 144 63 9 0
ODI 0 0 15 157 267 115 37 0
CDI 0 0 2 63 310 279 147 16
VCDI 0 1 1 11 214 2550 13415 27769

Date: 2022-12-31:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 11 12 4 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 5 17 45 96 23 0 0
ODI 0 1 10 62 221 107 25 0
CDI 0 0 0 50 398 366 81 7
VCDI 0 0 0 13 229 2324 14461 27294
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 13 13 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 14 39 124 45 6 0
ODI 0 1 11 56 190 95 27 0
CDI 0 0 0 63 381 317 82 9
VCDI 0 0 0 3 235 2363 14452 27292

Date: 2023-01-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 2 9 2 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 10 24 9 1 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 110 86 1 0
CDI 0 0 0 9 174 563 165 7
VCDI 0 0 0 35 188 2289 13796 28347
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 3 14 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 7 12 40 12 1 0
ODI 0 0 2 25 62 98 98 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 131 328 159 10
VCDI 0 0 0 32 246 2501 13704 28344

Date: 2023-01-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 10 15 5 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 8 36 34 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 16 120 347 64 12
VCDI 0 4 0 40 240 2305 15289 27316
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 1 10 2 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 8 17 6 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 6 37 36 2 0
CDI 0 0 0 7 112 314 93 7
VCDI 0 4 0 52 240 2333 15258 27321

Date: 2023-01-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 8 17 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 14 26 1 0
CDI 0 1 0 2 29 175 66 8
VCDI 0 0 1 10 149 1760 15546 28053
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 0 10 24 0 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 6 37 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 21 161 130 10
VCDI 0 1 1 12 163 1756 15483 28051


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