Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67103 18259 5277 444 254 319 28 0
OW 60 257 129 241 163 37 42 0
VODI 0 101 96 210 317 97 47 0
ODI 0 31 42 129 285 132 18 0
CDI 0 8 44 65 326 492 195 0
VCDI 0 1 13 85 510 4726 6731 1786
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66743 18159 5537 436 269 261 21 0
OW 61 212 208 213 170 52 16 0
VODI 0 111 152 183 273 133 30 0
ODI 0 36 67 134 209 174 34 0
CDI 0 8 46 98 229 474 280 0
VCDI 0 1 20 130 476 5175 6872 1397
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65272 21109 3920 396 199 238 9 0
OW 61 160 250 252 163 56 2 0
VODI 0 70 145 271 309 96 11 0
ODI 0 26 44 155 219 230 17 0
CDI 0 9 25 99 245 522 181 0
VCDI 0 1 9 77 381 4189 7892 1790
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64433 20760 4911 286 162 327 41 0
OW 63 265 232 247 93 51 18 0
VODI 0 111 164 286 187 73 18 0
ODI 0 31 41 194 252 92 27 0
CDI 0 13 20 116 285 246 54 0
VCDI 0 1 12 76 621 4508 8597 1186
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64433 20798 4947 298 168 340 42 0
OW 63 240 217 238 93 45 17 0
VODI 0 99 144 291 202 77 19 0
ODI 0 34 43 197 235 105 31 0
CDI 0 10 18 107 298 249 63 0
VCDI 0 0 11 74 604 4481 8583 1186

Date: 2022-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65308 19004 5239 265 162 376 23 0
OW 57 335 276 241 110 38 20 0
VODI 0 134 117 285 232 73 13 0
ODI 0 35 36 153 223 106 22 0
CDI 0 26 17 87 290 283 43 0
VCDI 0 3 32 90 473 4052 8002 2819
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65309 19082 5240 252 166 379 26 0
OW 56 274 278 255 84 30 15 0
VODI 0 113 115 290 256 76 15 0
ODI 0 41 33 149 238 126 21 0
CDI 0 24 18 86 274 271 40 0
VCDI 0 3 33 89 472 4046 8006 2819

Date: 2022-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67108 19260 3433 258 120 342 23 0
OW 63 238 261 190 86 55 15 0
VODI 0 94 141 271 201 56 27 0
ODI 0 48 34 143 265 144 15 0
CDI 0 21 20 71 257 367 61 0
VCDI 0 5 22 85 273 3181 8183 3663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67101 19008 3278 221 150 395 39 0
OW 70 381 279 151 66 27 23 0
VODI 0 153 223 239 159 73 15 0
ODI 0 58 69 179 213 86 18 0
CDI 0 45 28 126 239 232 42 0
VCDI 0 21 34 102 375 3332 8187 3663

Date: 2022-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62310 23575 3535 301 136 358 30 0
OW 73 490 194 147 56 81 11 0
VODI 2 198 174 237 135 49 15 0
ODI 0 78 68 153 221 99 9 0
CDI 0 43 37 102 238 282 37 0
VCDI 0 40 60 122 576 3873 8224 2731
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62309 23229 3482 248 136 465 48 0
OW 74 574 125 130 49 40 13 0
VODI 2 351 213 173 109 62 13 0
ODI 0 105 93 182 149 55 5 0
CDI 0 79 60 151 206 187 25 0
VCDI 0 86 95 178 713 3933 8222 2731

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64976 20460 3507 311 170 343 59 0
OW 110 673 127 102 59 90 17 0
VODI 3 368 164 216 111 89 15 0
ODI 0 135 88 179 181 97 6 0
CDI 0 53 52 172 252 247 17 0
VCDI 0 31 79 228 862 3294 10778 379
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64892 20045 3487 297 173 438 75 0
OW 161 518 73 93 72 92 17 0
VODI 36 486 102 126 105 113 3 0
ODI 0 290 112 116 108 53 10 0
CDI 0 215 74 166 175 148 26 0
VCDI 0 166 169 410 1002 3316 10761 379


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