Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - American sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-22

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 145 48 56 9 0 0 0
OW 0 107 90 180 145 19 1 0
VODI 0 47 79 204 208 259 55 0
ODI 0 30 81 255 409 632 40 0
CDI 0 2 11 112 467 1199 64 0
VCDI 0 5 8 31 802 5414 15237 19415
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 46 42 46 7 0 0 0
OW 0 65 119 103 153 27 7 0
VODI 0 28 69 218 265 182 121 0
ODI 0 17 70 195 330 351 225 0
CDI 0 3 30 81 269 696 529 0
VCDI 0 0 6 44 263 4510 15107 21642
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 24 6 32 3 0 0 0
OW 0 37 35 82 31 1 0 0
VODI 0 43 71 260 374 36 0 0
ODI 0 8 6 205 739 280 41 0
CDI 0 2 4 30 252 687 211 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 176 3879 15650 22644
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 13 6 5 0 0 0 0
OW 0 6 19 84 38 2 0 0
VODI 0 18 54 149 92 43 0 0
ODI 0 18 21 113 540 376 47 0
CDI 0 6 3 78 356 701 341 0
VCDI 0 0 7 29 197 3074 14728 24702
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 12 6 23 7 0 0 0
OW 0 7 18 56 28 2 0 0
VODI 0 13 50 158 135 64 0 0
ODI 0 21 23 105 521 385 18 0
CDI 0 8 7 86 353 698 268 0
VCDI 0 0 6 30 179 3047 14830 24702

Date: 2022-12-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 10 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 8 20 45 5 0 0 0
VODI 0 9 40 128 21 7 0 0
ODI 0 5 61 407 316 68 0 0
CDI 0 8 15 287 732 392 18 0
VCDI 0 1 9 63 342 2996 13933 25916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 11 2 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 7 16 44 9 0 0 0
VODI 0 7 33 123 22 10 0 0
ODI 0 3 61 363 260 78 0 0
CDI 0 11 22 225 721 398 20 0
VCDI 0 2 15 175 404 2977 13931 25916

Date: 2022-12-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 82 15 1 0 0 0 0
OW 0 72 42 41 4 0 0 0
VODI 0 115 109 491 101 5 1 0
ODI 0 56 53 343 277 95 11 0
CDI 0 6 6 95 375 314 29 6
VCDI 0 4 0 47 422 2414 14125 26109
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 41 7 14 2 0 0 0
OW 0 100 46 41 29 4 0 0
VODI 0 86 72 201 69 42 0 0
ODI 0 79 64 280 150 93 15 0
CDI 0 24 34 340 295 196 68 0
VCDI 0 5 2 142 634 2493 14083 26115

Date: 2022-12-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 16 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 41 25 56 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 15 59 188 109 25 0 0
ODI 0 2 32 261 299 155 22 0
CDI 0 1 0 79 261 371 198 0
VCDI 0 0 2 7 358 2862 13678 26737
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 9 10 1 6 0 0
VODI 0 40 47 167 92 89 30 0
ODI 0 4 52 212 167 83 56 0
CDI 0 0 8 181 334 308 172 0
VCDI 0 0 2 21 440 2927 13640 26737

Date: 2022-12-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 3 4 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 15 11 11 11 2 0 0
VODI 0 6 22 81 104 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 23 128 231 135 13 0
CDI 0 0 0 76 343 365 116 18
VCDI 0 0 0 5 133 2386 12217 29396
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
OW 0 3 7 6 0 0 0 0
VODI 0 21 9 49 73 40 48 0
ODI 0 0 28 79 150 107 50 0
CDI 0 0 15 110 303 307 142 23
VCDI 0 0 0 57 296 2445 12106 29391


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