Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66186 24128 1900 466 365 286 28 0
OW 52 297 173 217 124 40 9 0
VODI 0 168 117 227 181 102 34 0
ODI 0 72 62 142 161 169 36 0
CDI 0 50 34 88 171 389 86 0
VCDI 0 49 50 161 246 4047 7265 722
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70615 19293 1737 493 345 396 72 0
OW 54 307 227 229 105 33 9 0
VODI 0 139 149 277 186 102 40 0
ODI 0 55 65 176 163 179 34 0
CDI 0 36 37 123 155 331 118 0
VCDI 0 2 37 107 319 4489 7058 808
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64309 20865 6566 410 334 177 41 0
OW 62 183 172 266 105 44 30 0
VODI 0 64 110 289 296 105 22 0
ODI 0 12 45 130 304 186 16 0
CDI 0 1 26 98 187 456 147 0
VCDI 0 0 1 81 269 4070 7317 1304
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65680 17223 8195 342 242 269 27 0
OW 60 283 194 231 135 33 47 0
VODI 0 94 110 228 275 77 37 0
ODI 0 34 38 116 326 145 12 0
CDI 0 19 31 80 331 521 207 0
VCDI 0 1 31 88 307 4170 6377 2484
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65680 17268 8232 365 258 273 35 0
OW 60 245 165 223 129 36 47 0
VODI 0 82 103 229 294 72 32 0
ODI 0 38 38 111 286 164 23 0
CDI 0 18 29 67 336 520 260 0
VCDI 0 3 32 90 313 4150 6310 2484

Date: 2022-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68211 16831 5443 515 279 246 22 0
OW 61 191 183 243 172 43 22 0
VODI 0 111 112 192 347 82 27 0
ODI 0 27 49 120 282 137 24 0
CDI 0 12 35 80 259 503 210 0
VCDI 0 0 5 99 461 5251 6790 1423
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68209 16860 5454 538 287 254 21 0
OW 63 175 186 232 175 34 27 0
VODI 0 97 96 187 355 102 31 0
ODI 0 30 45 110 279 158 16 0
CDI 0 10 36 73 232 541 273 0
VCDI 0 0 10 109 472 5173 6727 1423

Date: 2022-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67858 18116 4359 412 193 221 19 0
OW 61 152 257 283 168 50 4 0
VODI 0 76 131 265 336 60 9 0
ODI 0 22 49 138 302 251 16 0
CDI 0 11 30 77 242 632 282 0
VCDI 0 0 8 70 425 4641 7358 1516
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67858 18031 4342 540 326 273 25 0
OW 61 200 186 201 181 52 13 0
VODI 0 95 141 174 237 171 38 0
ODI 0 36 72 117 208 206 55 0
CDI 0 11 54 84 219 608 280 0
VCDI 0 4 39 129 495 4545 7277 1516

Date: 2022-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64403 21631 4227 378 190 278 22 0
OW 62 229 195 269 127 55 1 0
VODI 0 94 155 269 256 60 14 0
ODI 0 26 47 166 261 108 26 0
CDI 0 7 28 106 295 378 61 0
VCDI 0 0 13 93 613 4388 8123 1446
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64403 21464 4178 436 252 344 32 0
OW 62 320 165 207 104 30 21 0
VODI 0 146 153 206 209 73 40 0
ODI 0 37 97 143 203 124 20 0
CDI 0 16 41 153 232 365 137 0
VCDI 0 4 31 136 742 4331 7997 1446

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68108 17254 4470 302 182 327 13 0
OW 63 297 250 246 94 58 10 0
VODI 0 137 138 238 218 68 12 0
ODI 0 38 50 168 251 110 11 0
CDI 0 23 20 92 287 235 41 0
VCDI 0 4 25 97 621 4380 8229 1933
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68108 17116 4412 312 209 397 29 0
OW 63 389 249 209 90 24 17 0
VODI 0 181 156 213 193 79 29 0
ODI 0 44 70 150 196 104 8 0
CDI 0 21 41 109 267 244 46 0
VCDI 0 2 25 150 698 4330 8187 1933


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