Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 933 528 104 56 18 0 0
OW 0 17 46 103 41 31 0 0
VODI 0 8 17 58 70 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 33 103 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 164 239 4 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 91 1338 9783 18132
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 727 438 150 80 9 0 0
OW 0 9 69 98 140 55 0 0
VODI 0 1 29 74 68 50 0 0
ODI 0 0 1 51 83 51 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 31 139 132 5 17
VCDI 0 0 0 25 180 1106 7582 20682
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 898 243 92 45 1 0 0
OW 0 37 122 74 31 9 0 0
VODI 0 10 26 135 129 59 0 0
ODI 0 4 2 73 94 162 3 0
CDI 0 1 1 56 105 232 51 1
VCDI 0 0 0 6 108 1523 10875 16874
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 630 452 78 37 0 0 0
OW 0 47 129 63 30 7 0 0
VODI 0 12 55 119 89 35 0 0
ODI 0 4 7 38 87 97 0 0
CDI 0 2 1 28 54 141 45 34
VCDI 0 0 0 15 161 601 9082 19902
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 592 486 92 42 1 0 0
OW 0 80 92 56 38 6 0 0
VODI 0 18 58 106 73 26 0 0
ODI 0 2 7 47 82 72 0 0
CDI 0 3 1 24 59 139 25 31
VCDI 0 0 0 16 164 637 9102 19905

Date: 2022-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 952 199 59 23 0 0 0
OW 0 170 85 54 26 0 0 0
VODI 0 55 88 101 65 5 0 0
ODI 0 22 32 74 66 38 10 0
CDI 0 16 30 39 58 131 32 1
VCDI 0 13 42 136 226 1575 10216 17443
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 891 202 71 24 0 0 0
OW 0 213 59 40 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 74 116 79 51 5 0 0
ODI 0 22 31 103 60 29 10 0
CDI 0 14 29 35 70 89 30 2
VCDI 0 14 39 135 236 1626 10218 17442

Date: 2022-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1038 133 66 51 6 0 0
OW 0 69 66 86 25 10 0 0
VODI 0 40 62 101 86 14 0 0
ODI 0 25 12 50 121 52 1 0
CDI 0 13 20 33 60 159 64 0
VCDI 0 4 43 140 185 1034 14491 13722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 873 70 63 65 16 0 0
OW 0 185 83 56 27 14 0 0
VODI 0 68 97 114 63 23 0 0
ODI 0 29 13 55 116 46 9 0
CDI 0 21 18 31 56 108 81 17
VCDI 0 13 55 157 201 1068 14466 13705

Date: 2022-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 789 158 93 51 17 0 0
OW 0 41 82 107 16 16 0 0
VODI 0 9 66 97 110 16 0 0
ODI 0 0 18 72 105 87 1 0
CDI 0 0 7 50 68 174 55 12
VCDI 0 0 5 112 131 467 8667 20383
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 635 96 70 40 13 0 0
OW 0 122 51 42 32 23 0 0
VODI 0 68 91 116 36 24 0 0
ODI 0 13 52 79 109 36 0 0
CDI 0 1 21 57 103 146 63 40
VCDI 0 0 25 167 161 535 8660 20355

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 692 134 79 30 46 8 0
OW 0 46 40 50 25 9 16 0
VODI 0 18 45 86 71 21 9 0
ODI 0 0 8 68 71 70 12 0
CDI 0 0 2 30 48 202 152 15
VCDI 0 0 0 32 177 993 13446 15331
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 603 98 72 26 45 5 0
OW 0 111 46 42 22 12 24 0
VODI 0 40 50 78 112 24 11 0
ODI 0 2 28 54 41 106 22 0
CDI 0 0 7 52 31 181 157 18
VCDI 0 0 0 47 190 973 13424 15328


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