Description of algorithm
Full domain
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
American sector
European sector
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - Full domain

Bulletin date: 2022-12-15

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66186 25580 2678 667 620 388 28 0
OW 52 474 533 700 737 275 9 0
VODI 0 268 172 533 1124 868 106 0
ODI 0 126 87 274 901 1133 176 0
CDI 0 59 45 170 505 1692 484 3
VCDI 0 51 51 169 565 8849 35202 34508
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 70615 20401 2388 686 535 461 72 0
OW 54 544 485 702 703 224 9 0
VODI 0 260 236 724 1005 583 53 0
ODI 0 110 97 357 1194 825 80 0
CDI 0 49 76 281 1076 1427 443 17
VCDI 0 7 42 158 1061 8818 33806 36384
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64309 22088 6869 624 416 178 41 0
OW 62 325 325 498 254 66 30 0
VODI 0 162 159 606 800 388 24 0
ODI 0 42 64 316 1478 1231 30 0
CDI 0 12 28 190 1468 2300 333 15
VCDI 0 3 4 122 843 9877 36604 33864
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65680 18079 8749 476 283 269 27 0
OW 60 460 403 447 258 68 54 0
VODI 0 189 223 513 621 374 62 0
ODI 0 76 105 329 1109 783 48 0
CDI 0 30 40 225 1097 1910 296 34
VCDI 0 5 37 175 1256 9617 30665 41916
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 65680 18070 8830 556 322 276 35 0
OW 60 476 328 395 267 102 60 0
VODI 0 191 226 516 652 395 60 0
ODI 0 63 97 325 1077 843 49 0
CDI 0 32 37 190 995 1715 322 32
VCDI 0 7 39 183 1311 9690 30626 41918

Date: 2022-12-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68211 17897 5673 601 310 246 22 0
OW 61 525 364 418 356 69 22 0
VODI 0 213 275 546 620 301 92 0
ODI 0 110 158 406 739 506 265 0
CDI 0 31 101 227 760 1291 765 1
VCDI 0 13 60 291 1109 11992 32098 39303
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68209 17847 5709 670 345 255 21 0
OW 63 565 306 362 323 69 29 0
VODI 0 220 297 513 635 341 142 0
ODI 0 113 151 438 772 566 263 0
CDI 0 30 108 210 662 1208 801 2
VCDI 0 14 60 296 1157 11966 32008 39302

Date: 2022-12-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67858 19183 4502 507 246 227 19 0
OW 61 259 388 453 217 62 4 0
VODI 0 151 347 761 674 144 9 0
ODI 0 51 65 397 1066 635 39 0
CDI 0 25 52 149 539 1609 656 0
VCDI 0 4 51 232 753 10780 36145 37728
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67858 18940 4428 634 409 289 25 0
OW 61 416 316 362 283 100 19 0
VODI 0 191 353 501 597 402 109 0
ODI 0 74 104 367 695 619 201 0
CDI 0 35 108 278 610 1649 649 17
VCDI 0 17 96 357 901 10398 35869 37711

Date: 2022-12-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64403 22439 4390 494 245 295 22 0
OW 62 277 313 461 160 74 1 0
VODI 0 152 315 530 629 111 14 0
ODI 0 44 107 368 1066 552 61 0
CDI 0 14 42 177 668 1244 401 16
VCDI 0 0 24 232 988 8293 31765 45599
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 64403 22115 4279 526 301 358 32 0
OW 62 450 245 340 176 60 27 0
VODI 0 258 349 472 531 279 91 0
ODI 0 64 156 317 814 466 228 56
CDI 0 34 97 263 694 1013 723 202
VCDI 0 5 65 344 1240 8393 31163 45357

Date: 2022-12-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68108 17956 4610 382 212 373 21 0
OW 63 354 302 343 156 69 26 0
VODI 0 167 210 417 380 113 26 0
ODI 0 54 80 384 669 430 47 0
CDI 0 29 25 183 731 1253 401 15
VCDI 0 5 26 151 1007 7847 37744 41679
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 68108 17726 4513 388 237 442 34 0
OW 63 508 306 306 160 42 41 0
VODI 0 249 246 404 441 176 89 0
ODI 0 58 115 329 490 562 301 0
CDI 0 22 48 195 656 1057 775 19
VCDI 0 2 25 238 1171 7806 37025 41675


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