Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79133 12239 2309 299 99 38 32 0
OW 35 96 180 193 106 43 3 0
VODI 0 31 96 189 218 76 3 0
ODI 0 9 28 98 287 118 10 0
CDI 0 2 14 52 306 468 179 0
VCDI 0 0 6 40 321 1808 7277 2659
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75940 15539 2027 297 129 68 59 0
OW 35 131 195 164 92 43 1 0
VODI 0 32 92 235 148 80 7 0
ODI 0 10 28 126 191 129 23 0
CDI 0 3 11 47 236 484 97 0
VCDI 0 0 5 34 199 2693 6946 2524
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74844 16001 2834 323 131 113 101 0
OW 35 95 257 144 63 16 6 0
VODI 0 55 135 213 134 39 3 0
ODI 0 22 52 155 161 70 6 0
CDI 0 0 21 101 296 272 38 0
VCDI 0 0 4 51 472 4263 5782 1792
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67112 23326 2926 537 158 83 40 0
OW 50 240 115 196 51 24 3 0
VODI 0 113 115 194 132 31 4 0
ODI 0 37 55 120 169 60 3 0
CDI 0 12 22 77 245 225 21 0
VCDI 0 11 21 70 530 4631 5707 1634
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 67127 23357 2952 578 161 83 39 0
OW 35 208 94 180 54 25 3 0
VODI 0 109 111 176 136 32 3 0
ODI 0 35 50 113 163 66 5 0
CDI 0 17 22 70 246 232 39 0
VCDI 0 13 25 77 525 4616 5689 1634

Date: 2022-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66730 22579 4203 247 155 68 66 0
OW 35 268 281 107 37 31 7 0
VODI 0 135 226 178 76 38 1 0
ODI 0 33 121 114 134 64 3 0
CDI 0 9 99 133 164 209 21 0
VCDI 0 4 67 248 550 5355 6158 146
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66730 22617 4242 258 157 74 73 0
OW 35 225 261 114 34 25 0 0
VODI 0 132 211 176 88 35 2 0
ODI 0 35 106 100 129 63 3 0
CDI 0 14 97 120 162 201 22 0
VCDI 0 5 80 259 546 5367 6156 146

Date: 2022-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60136 25641 7449 418 277 141 31 0
OW 29 352 114 158 57 45 20 0
VODI 0 206 142 204 105 89 9 0
ODI 0 50 72 147 190 136 3 0
CDI 0 32 48 87 184 311 26 0
VCDI 0 5 41 154 512 5179 5675 625
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 60134 25388 7376 392 275 175 60 0
OW 31 380 121 117 59 33 0 0
VODI 0 273 138 186 80 84 2 0
ODI 0 116 61 132 91 87 2 0
CDI 0 78 69 102 167 196 17 0
VCDI 0 51 101 239 653 5326 5683 625

Date: 2022-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66757 18030 7842 461 341 134 22 0
OW 50 330 187 163 88 34 12 0
VODI 0 201 179 196 192 63 8 0
ODI 0 45 85 111 245 127 8 0
CDI 0 33 54 102 244 320 79 0
VCDI 0 11 72 182 395 4375 6763 559
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66757 18017 7824 403 295 141 36 0
OW 50 269 195 163 86 38 5 0
VODI 0 174 146 212 173 52 4 0
ODI 0 84 63 147 215 91 8 0
CDI 0 58 57 85 272 270 36 0
VCDI 0 48 134 205 464 4461 6803 559

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66186 24128 1900 466 365 286 28 0
OW 52 297 173 217 124 40 9 0
VODI 0 168 117 227 181 102 34 0
ODI 0 72 62 142 161 169 36 0
CDI 0 50 34 88 171 389 86 0
VCDI 0 49 50 161 246 4047 7265 722
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66186 23901 1842 371 313 292 39 0
OW 52 309 192 164 87 28 26 0
VODI 0 279 130 299 136 72 16 0
ODI 0 99 60 194 184 117 30 0
CDI 0 74 40 94 240 361 100 0
VCDI 0 102 72 179 288 4163 7247 722


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