Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-12-01

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62 1684 39 47 50 20 0 0
OW 0 132 32 11 15 4 0 0
VODI 0 63 42 52 44 22 0 0
ODI 0 23 11 60 48 56 0 0
CDI 0 13 4 21 60 127 27 2
VCDI 0 7 18 41 58 773 10695 17719
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-27:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1541 237 62 66 6 0 0
OW 0 134 25 21 15 13 0 0
VODI 0 56 42 38 30 35 0 0
ODI 0 14 17 63 23 72 17 0
CDI 0 10 6 30 49 106 92 3
VCDI 0 0 26 49 63 440 12334 16347
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-29:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1786 85 65 49 21 0 0
OW 0 74 49 37 11 12 0 0
VODI 0 20 30 83 33 22 1 0
ODI 0 9 6 35 62 89 9 0
CDI 0 8 7 19 31 205 125 0
VCDI 0 0 22 32 53 320 11812 16860
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-12-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1771 156 57 64 0 0 0
OW 0 95 75 35 16 0 0 0
VODI 0 56 52 70 55 5 0 0
ODI 0 20 28 37 74 65 5 0
CDI 0 14 15 37 95 161 60 2
VCDI 0 5 35 54 134 821 10830 17083
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1797 175 60 63 0 0 0
OW 0 76 64 40 14 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 47 61 49 0 0 0
ODI 0 18 28 43 81 59 2 0
CDI 0 17 14 35 98 177 58 6
VCDI 0 3 33 51 133 816 10835 17079

Date: 2022-12-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1740 81 73 99 14 0 0
OW 0 104 45 55 33 0 0 0
VODI 0 89 42 79 67 21 0 0
ODI 0 34 25 55 88 86 0 0
CDI 0 17 35 34 86 229 67 0
VCDI 0 5 33 92 151 1754 15390 11359
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1787 103 84 97 14 0 0
OW 0 75 33 52 38 0 0 0
VODI 0 76 39 70 65 20 0 0
ODI 0 32 29 55 95 78 0 0
CDI 0 12 28 39 68 249 85 0
VCDI 0 7 29 88 161 1743 15372 11359

Date: 2022-12-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1658 348 167 39 0 0 0
OW 0 129 65 50 44 0 0 0
VODI 0 86 70 86 101 17 0 0
ODI 0 40 60 66 85 85 2 0
CDI 0 29 41 54 78 167 23 0
VCDI 0 0 25 39 93 1396 10875 16064
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1563 340 153 52 0 0 0
OW 0 157 33 35 41 0 0 0
VODI 0 133 94 53 52 15 0 0
ODI 0 45 52 73 62 46 0 0
CDI 0 29 23 47 87 84 35 0
VCDI 0 15 67 101 146 1520 10865 16064

Date: 2022-12-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 988 717 166 64 0 0 0
OW 0 52 68 60 46 0 0 0
VODI 0 19 65 185 96 16 0 0
ODI 0 5 18 115 132 62 1 0
CDI 0 3 1 75 89 141 27 12
VCDI 0 0 0 27 156 2187 11575 14914
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 926 671 133 62 0 0 0
OW 0 64 67 53 28 0 0 0
VODI 0 41 53 98 81 18 0 0
ODI 0 30 20 133 78 31 0 0
CDI 0 5 41 116 109 73 7 17
VCDI 0 1 17 95 225 2284 11596 14909

Date: 2022-12-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 933 528 104 56 18 0 0
OW 0 17 46 103 41 31 0 0
VODI 0 8 17 58 70 36 0 0
ODI 0 0 4 33 103 71 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 51 164 239 4 2
VCDI 0 0 0 1 91 1338 9783 18132
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 818 416 74 36 1 0 0
OW 0 88 109 70 42 6 0 0
VODI 0 34 40 74 68 49 0 0
ODI 0 11 11 28 56 56 0 0
CDI 0 5 12 26 105 126 36 16
VCDI 0 2 7 78 218 1495 9751 18118


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