Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74233 17083 2870 377 81 29 1 0
OW 29 108 208 222 106 9 0 0
VODI 0 54 136 222 215 40 0 0
ODI 0 18 50 157 252 82 0 0
CDI 0 3 17 134 311 271 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 494 2924 5754 2564
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81373 11085 1547 298 103 37 3 0
OW 30 116 194 162 153 7 1 0
VODI 0 76 136 208 230 44 0 0
ODI 0 16 55 148 213 95 0 0
CDI 0 0 20 147 356 284 15 0
VCDI 0 0 3 42 541 3135 6103 2124
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81124 11774 1061 411 108 28 27 0
OW 32 126 134 199 176 16 0 0
VODI 0 29 82 171 288 72 1 0
ODI 0 2 29 107 235 188 2 0
CDI 0 1 5 66 261 587 42 0
VCDI 0 0 1 24 367 2895 4379 4050
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78563 12726 2446 343 97 47 25 0
OW 35 112 154 216 111 27 0 0
VODI 0 18 84 201 280 61 0 0
ODI 0 2 20 123 279 137 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 44 309 556 79 0
VCDI 0 0 0 16 224 2272 6214 3275
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78564 12743 2461 370 111 50 25 0
OW 34 96 138 195 116 27 0 0
VODI 0 17 87 188 246 59 1 0
ODI 0 2 18 129 248 134 2 0
CDI 0 0 2 43 346 487 66 0
VCDI 0 0 0 18 233 2343 6226 3275

Date: 2022-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76772 14202 2617 290 97 62 39 0
OW 35 120 176 183 84 38 13 0
VODI 0 31 106 203 186 69 10 0
ODI 0 6 29 110 258 114 28 0
CDI 0 1 5 62 290 457 191 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 230 1672 7411 2878
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76772 14220 2628 303 109 63 39 0
OW 35 106 163 185 77 41 12 0
VODI 0 26 107 191 177 72 14 0
ODI 0 7 28 107 232 102 25 0
CDI 0 1 6 62 277 410 170 0
VCDI 0 0 1 25 273 1724 7432 2878

Date: 2022-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76238 15376 2087 295 140 101 83 0
OW 35 69 247 173 70 28 5 0
VODI 0 26 105 234 178 54 4 0
ODI 0 3 39 122 228 111 16 0
CDI 0 0 6 42 253 453 42 0
VCDI 0 0 3 26 185 3058 6020 2945
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76238 15313 1992 271 143 113 88 0
OW 35 108 240 130 63 26 0 0
VODI 0 38 161 194 127 52 8 0
ODI 0 10 59 153 138 66 19 0
CDI 0 5 20 90 278 268 35 0
VCDI 0 0 15 54 305 3280 6020 2945

Date: 2022-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78491 12732 2058 637 160 106 63 0
OW 35 192 169 179 53 32 1 0
VODI 0 97 108 185 128 47 3 0
ODI 0 40 44 118 172 60 12 0
CDI 0 14 25 84 262 296 90 0
VCDI 0 5 22 72 612 4993 5270 1433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78491 12599 1988 645 171 122 63 0
OW 35 229 157 131 39 25 1 0
VODI 0 131 142 185 119 25 3 0
ODI 0 55 68 112 153 63 6 0
CDI 0 38 23 91 244 336 100 0
VCDI 0 28 48 111 661 4963 5266 1433

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66588 22941 4140 336 137 75 72 0
OW 35 293 214 95 42 22 8 0
VODI 0 146 188 175 76 28 7 0
ODI 0 50 85 122 125 51 6 0
CDI 0 21 45 136 179 175 9 0
VCDI 0 17 32 124 691 4139 5747 1728
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 66573 22631 4044 327 139 86 78 0
OW 50 343 151 80 26 14 3 0
VODI 0 257 185 105 67 21 3 0
ODI 0 126 133 99 74 37 6 0
CDI 0 71 110 145 194 242 45 0
VCDI 0 40 81 232 750 4090 5714 1728


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