Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-24

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 712 1505 33 0 0 0 0
OW 0 27 112 67 7 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 46 90 24 1 0 0
ODI 0 4 27 133 19 11 0 0
CDI 0 9 8 53 37 116 47 0
VCDI 0 6 18 91 268 2055 12617 13927
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-20:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1 1418 660 6 4 0 0 0
OW 0 57 114 36 30 0 0 0
VODI 0 24 49 80 38 4 0 0
ODI 0 8 11 33 47 27 0 0
CDI 0 6 3 18 62 128 23 17
VCDI 0 5 16 58 94 1313 12502 15190
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-22:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1702 262 29 5 0 0 0
OW 0 89 72 22 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 70 85 56 9 0 0
ODI 0 23 9 39 70 37 0 0
CDI 0 10 10 2 39 148 16 2
VCDI 0 7 42 40 62 726 8375 19981
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-24:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 148 1614 51 45 37 7 0 0
OW 0 104 43 30 13 6 0 0
VODI 0 44 40 71 64 31 0 0
ODI 0 22 6 53 51 62 0 0
CDI 0 12 4 11 49 151 53 0
VCDI 0 11 26 46 49 957 9024 19147
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 148 1619 58 44 39 7 0 0
OW 0 86 35 30 11 4 0 0
VODI 0 54 40 65 64 27 0 0
ODI 0 23 7 56 51 73 2 0
CDI 0 14 4 16 48 150 57 0
VCDI 0 11 26 45 50 953 9018 19147

Date: 2022-11-26:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1696 106 48 63 1 0 0
OW 0 144 25 23 10 8 0 0
VODI 0 78 47 36 35 20 0 0
ODI 0 16 27 63 37 60 0 0
CDI 0 14 9 35 56 135 34 4
VCDI 0 21 33 46 79 939 12292 15842
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1719 106 46 63 0 0 0
OW 0 107 24 21 8 6 0 0
VODI 0 87 44 40 34 15 0 0
ODI 0 18 30 57 40 63 0 0
CDI 0 17 10 39 48 128 30 4
VCDI 0 21 33 48 87 951 12296 15842

Date: 2022-11-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1620 264 68 75 1 0 0
OW 0 75 41 30 9 9 0 0
VODI 0 23 34 80 31 18 1 0
ODI 0 9 3 43 97 53 21 0
CDI 0 6 1 22 28 162 120 4
VCDI 0 0 6 37 51 353 12341 16346
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1511 260 64 71 0 0 0
OW 0 111 18 19 19 12 0 0
VODI 0 75 32 43 37 25 4 0
ODI 0 24 25 46 57 56 19 0
CDI 0 11 7 42 28 76 93 12
VCDI 0 1 7 66 79 427 12367 16338

Date: 2022-11-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1773 82 70 63 5 0 0
OW 0 95 54 43 8 12 0 0
VODI 0 27 50 68 42 20 1 0
ODI 0 12 14 43 46 91 12 0
CDI 0 7 14 20 60 188 87 8
VCDI 0 0 24 42 60 702 11281 16958
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1697 74 63 65 14 0 0
OW 0 116 36 44 15 17 0 0
VODI 0 63 53 56 44 38 4 0
ODI 0 21 26 47 34 106 6 0
CDI 0 17 15 25 38 98 62 0
VCDI 0 0 34 51 83 745 11309 16966

Date: 2022-12-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1767 121 55 85 0 0 0
OW 0 120 47 42 23 0 0 0
VODI 0 62 50 58 58 17 0 0
ODI 0 15 45 42 63 96 4 0
CDI 0 9 32 37 68 222 70 8
VCDI 0 3 43 72 168 1043 14219 13318
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1648 119 64 87 0 0 0
OW 0 182 33 36 35 3 0 0
VODI 0 91 53 43 49 60 0 0
ODI 0 31 30 33 51 82 12 0
CDI 0 21 36 36 58 121 61 0
VCDI 0 3 67 94 185 1112 14220 13326


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