Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72077 19927 3376 313 139 25 8 0
OW 25 166 215 228 119 15 0 0
VODI 0 43 92 188 251 48 0 0
ODI 0 5 35 94 269 92 6 0
CDI 0 2 18 54 293 339 18 0
VCDI 0 0 8 49 269 1884 4693 3717
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80131 13237 1473 294 102 60 6 0
OW 28 138 195 322 207 6 0 0
VODI 0 68 86 217 310 46 2 0
ODI 0 8 23 108 237 115 9 0
CDI 0 6 12 52 305 307 61 0
VCDI 0 3 6 37 223 1391 5478 3791
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 75160 18532 971 431 100 20 9 0
OW 29 74 146 255 107 17 0 0
VODI 0 63 98 269 196 52 2 0
ODI 0 18 15 115 279 109 7 0
CDI 0 0 2 37 392 294 57 0
VCDI 0 0 2 6 339 1674 4671 4552
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72691 16732 4853 414 103 11 0 0
OW 29 43 230 240 125 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 103 293 214 31 0 0
ODI 0 16 58 190 239 72 0 0
CDI 0 23 2 89 317 275 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 12 564 2892 5880 2320
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 72691 16728 4867 392 107 11 0 0
OW 29 49 208 270 98 0 0 0
VODI 0 32 106 293 253 32 0 0
ODI 0 9 49 176 228 76 0 0
CDI 0 29 16 92 302 209 6 0
VCDI 0 0 0 15 574 2953 5880 2320

Date: 2022-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78679 13440 2030 302 66 42 1 0
OW 29 108 235 178 112 11 2 0
VODI 0 73 153 210 222 35 2 0
ODI 0 27 52 162 214 67 6 0
CDI 0 9 30 126 363 203 49 0
VCDI 0 1 22 63 609 3180 6512 1475
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 78679 13451 2041 288 77 44 1 0
OW 29 101 228 187 71 11 2 0
VODI 0 75 143 199 232 34 2 0
ODI 0 25 52 168 223 66 5 0
CDI 0 5 31 126 363 181 38 0
VCDI 0 1 27 73 620 3202 6524 1475

Date: 2022-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80838 11851 1409 335 76 43 16 0
OW 31 139 165 214 156 10 1 0
VODI 0 57 97 203 264 53 3 0
ODI 0 14 33 129 220 201 5 0
CDI 0 2 12 68 260 495 30 0
VCDI 0 0 2 37 505 2466 4528 4132
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80838 11826 1235 289 102 44 16 0
OW 31 129 190 126 117 9 1 0
VODI 0 82 155 186 189 50 1 0
ODI 0 23 83 139 166 132 1 0
CDI 0 3 36 143 242 384 29 0
VCDI 0 0 19 103 665 2649 4535 4132

Date: 2022-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80638 11830 1375 412 86 43 12 0
OW 33 124 127 193 168 19 0 0
VODI 0 22 98 161 300 66 1 0
ODI 0 5 30 99 245 192 5 0
CDI 0 1 7 59 256 672 69 0
VCDI 0 0 6 25 177 2637 6222 2685
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80637 11669 1306 300 61 41 12 0
OW 34 191 118 178 105 10 0 0
VODI 0 97 114 192 248 46 0 0
ODI 0 21 68 127 229 154 0 0
CDI 0 4 24 85 304 511 64 0
VCDI 0 0 13 67 285 2867 6233 2685

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79133 12239 2309 299 99 38 32 0
OW 35 96 180 193 106 43 3 0
VODI 0 31 96 189 218 76 3 0
ODI 0 9 28 98 287 118 10 0
CDI 0 2 14 52 306 468 179 0
VCDI 0 0 6 40 321 1808 7277 2659
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79133 12070 2262 242 77 32 32 0
OW 35 189 146 152 77 19 0 0
VODI 0 89 130 196 173 61 3 0
ODI 0 17 56 133 220 112 3 0
CDI 0 9 20 86 316 263 52 0
VCDI 0 3 19 62 474 2064 7414 2659


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