Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-17

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 2126 318 54 18 3 0 0
OW 2 60 42 82 41 10 0 0
VODI 0 4 15 42 81 47 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 11 62 93 1 0
CDI 0 0 11 35 80 247 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 63 2375 14962 11050
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 21 2108 181 13 4 1 0 0
OW 0 150 55 69 18 6 0 0
VODI 0 29 33 56 92 33 0 0
ODI 0 2 3 17 44 90 5 0
CDI 0 0 5 24 29 230 129 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 52 1293 17944 9333
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 645 1645 75 72 36 0 0 0
OW 0 30 55 49 28 11 0 0
VODI 0 9 30 76 62 20 0 0
ODI 0 8 7 42 51 38 0 0
CDI 0 3 8 47 36 171 123 0
VCDI 0 0 0 25 114 1142 13682 13742
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 728 1616 54 2 0 0 0
OW 0 21 97 32 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 12 54 97 42 7 0 0
ODI 0 9 19 43 73 11 0 0
CDI 0 13 10 42 28 113 42 0
VCDI 0 10 20 59 90 1166 12103 15458
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 728 1596 51 2 0 0 0
OW 0 22 104 30 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 11 63 90 44 7 0 0
ODI 0 7 18 49 65 12 0 0
CDI 0 15 14 35 36 103 41 0
VCDI 0 10 21 72 89 1175 12104 15458

Date: 2022-11-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1710 388 19 8 0 0 0
OW 0 74 70 56 43 0 0 0
VODI 0 26 23 58 69 9 0 0
ODI 0 5 3 45 103 18 0 0
CDI 0 5 1 28 105 69 54 0
VCDI 0 4 4 55 154 1777 14436 12663
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 0 1684 391 20 4 0 0 0
OW 0 98 59 51 35 0 0 0
VODI 0 27 32 60 76 9 0 0
ODI 0 6 2 39 76 18 0 0
CDI 0 5 0 32 117 61 47 0
VCDI 0 4 5 59 174 1785 14443 12663

Date: 2022-11-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 470 1495 49 20 1 0 0 0
OW 1 78 61 25 11 0 0 0
VODI 0 33 30 110 71 18 0 0
ODI 0 19 10 34 69 45 2 0
CDI 0 2 13 5 50 150 23 3
VCDI 0 0 17 45 58 656 10835 17573
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 468 1323 51 25 2 0 0 0
OW 3 229 34 35 11 1 0 0
VODI 0 45 49 75 67 13 0 0
ODI 0 22 9 46 50 29 0 0
CDI 0 5 9 8 45 80 17 7
VCDI 0 3 28 50 85 746 10843 17569

Date: 2022-11-23:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31 1758 108 36 18 1 0 0
OW 0 128 32 17 7 4 0 0
VODI 0 40 65 75 49 35 0 0
ODI 0 17 6 53 50 44 0 0
CDI 0 10 5 14 53 151 23 2
VCDI 0 0 15 57 50 663 8181 20284
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 31 1601 109 39 19 2 0 0
OW 0 220 33 18 6 4 0 0
VODI 0 101 41 56 47 35 0 0
ODI 0 18 21 46 39 27 0 0
CDI 0 12 9 25 48 98 25 4
VCDI 0 1 18 68 68 732 8179 20282

Date: 2022-11-25:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62 1684 39 47 50 20 0 0
OW 0 132 32 11 15 4 0 0
VODI 0 63 42 52 44 22 0 0
ODI 0 23 11 60 48 56 0 0
CDI 0 13 4 21 60 127 27 2
VCDI 0 7 18 41 58 773 10695 17719
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 62 1480 40 47 50 18 0 0
OW 0 264 19 11 16 8 0 0
VODI 0 140 49 51 41 25 0 0
ODI 0 23 17 42 45 42 0 0
CDI 0 11 6 38 42 99 23 7
VCDI 0 4 15 43 81 810 10699 17714


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