Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-10

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-11-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 83355 12926 1123 362 133 15 7 0
OW 16 112 184 238 170 16 11 0
VODI 0 66 53 66 54 29 7 0
ODI 0 45 25 65 52 35 2 0
CDI 0 46 23 56 93 97 21 0
VCDI 0 74 49 96 168 1245 3977 3988
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 81595 14126 679 348 154 34 12 0
OW 27 104 149 366 221 61 6 0
VODI 0 57 43 160 482 180 0 0
ODI 0 32 23 70 117 78 3 0
CDI 0 34 25 47 147 163 10 0
VCDI 0 46 41 59 150 1152 4694 3405
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 80958 14028 1199 414 76 8 0 0
OW 26 71 89 210 166 17 2 0
VODI 0 24 39 158 282 161 4 0
ODI 0 14 26 38 267 430 19 0
CDI 0 16 17 38 114 541 65 0
VCDI 0 1 19 53 103 1146 6459 1802
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76191 16179 3185 482 89 17 1 0
OW 24 107 192 261 122 5 2 0
VODI 0 32 58 196 250 50 2 0
ODI 0 5 18 93 285 153 1 0
CDI 0 0 4 47 330 424 27 0
VCDI 0 0 3 37 211 1776 4098 4143
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76191 16173 3162 485 103 17 1 0
OW 24 108 200 202 101 9 2 0
VODI 0 37 71 241 249 59 2 0
ODI 0 5 18 91 267 137 6 0
CDI 0 0 6 55 330 421 41 0
VCDI 0 0 3 42 237 1782 4079 4143

Date: 2022-11-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74050 17919 3179 258 91 47 12 0
OW 26 197 197 291 154 10 0 0
VODI 0 70 75 222 242 47 0 0
ODI 0 12 26 91 261 104 4 0
CDI 0 5 18 57 266 338 24 0
VCDI 0 5 17 43 219 1599 5514 3410
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74050 17911 3180 275 101 50 12 0
OW 26 184 182 243 123 12 0 0
VODI 0 90 87 239 219 54 1 0
ODI 0 10 29 100 271 96 4 0
CDI 0 8 15 62 253 345 62 0
VCDI 0 5 19 43 266 1588 5475 3410

Date: 2022-11-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79849 13290 1559 453 154 28 12 0
OW 28 57 160 360 107 6 0 0
VODI 0 56 66 241 224 63 2 0
ODI 0 5 8 98 414 104 6 0
CDI 0 0 0 23 414 333 80 0
VCDI 0 0 0 1 121 1325 4627 4826
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 79849 13219 1425 414 151 27 12 0
OW 28 108 202 278 110 6 0 0
VODI 0 57 131 297 317 59 1 0
ODI 0 23 27 125 235 91 17 0
CDI 0 1 6 52 335 253 79 0
VCDI 0 0 2 10 286 1423 4618 4826

Date: 2022-11-16:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76969 14437 2920 522 143 25 1 0
OW 29 48 183 254 130 21 0 0
VODI 0 28 70 268 229 70 0 0
ODI 0 30 38 112 242 119 8 0
CDI 0 2 7 46 390 321 60 0
VCDI 0 0 1 19 420 2447 5058 3433
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 76969 14357 2854 460 161 28 1 0
OW 29 96 176 247 127 26 1 0
VODI 0 54 102 289 246 84 8 0
ODI 0 33 56 156 266 141 22 0
CDI 0 5 21 40 360 329 39 0
VCDI 0 0 10 29 394 2395 5056 3433

Date: 2022-11-18:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74233 17083 2870 377 81 29 1 0
OW 29 108 208 222 106 9 0 0
VODI 0 54 136 222 215 40 0 0
ODI 0 18 50 157 252 82 0 0
CDI 0 3 17 134 311 271 29 0
VCDI 0 0 0 17 494 2924 5754 2564
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 74233 16991 2845 345 108 42 1 0
OW 29 146 197 199 83 16 0 0
VODI 0 92 143 237 248 63 0 0
ODI 0 32 66 159 252 138 11 0
CDI 0 5 26 143 352 308 71 0
VCDI 0 0 4 46 416 2788 5701 2564


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