Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2022-11-03
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2022-10-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81616 |
15435 |
913 |
201 |
170 |
48 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
112 |
62 |
50 |
19 |
69 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
64 |
65 |
75 |
51 |
88 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
32 |
45 |
55 |
51 |
53 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
32 |
73 |
97 |
122 |
40 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
51 |
112 |
1220 |
5501 |
2536 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-30:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84365 |
12528 |
895 |
309 |
152 |
49 |
5 |
0 |
| OW |
8 |
143 |
62 |
48 |
50 |
35 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
91 |
60 |
67 |
55 |
59 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
58 |
27 |
61 |
61 |
61 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
68 |
29 |
52 |
89 |
101 |
17 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
62 |
81 |
113 |
157 |
1259 |
4707 |
3104 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-11-01:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83230 |
13273 |
1276 |
531 |
111 |
21 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
12 |
62 |
79 |
76 |
53 |
12 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
55 |
54 |
65 |
67 |
34 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
29 |
25 |
63 |
70 |
55 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
22 |
46 |
39 |
114 |
180 |
14 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
41 |
95 |
140 |
897 |
4964 |
3282 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-11-03:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77293 |
18990 |
1368 |
350 |
229 |
20 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
15 |
92 |
122 |
91 |
123 |
23 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
48 |
83 |
74 |
37 |
18 |
10 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
28 |
47 |
59 |
46 |
32 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
20 |
53 |
63 |
90 |
69 |
11 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
11 |
117 |
109 |
219 |
1596 |
4288 |
3238 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
77293 |
18988 |
1377 |
370 |
313 |
29 |
6 |
0 |
| OW |
15 |
112 |
119 |
66 |
42 |
15 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
36 |
83 |
75 |
34 |
19 |
9 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
25 |
45 |
58 |
47 |
31 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
17 |
60 |
69 |
75 |
69 |
9 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
11 |
106 |
108 |
233 |
1595 |
4290 |
3238 |
|
Date: 2022-11-05:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81056 |
15019 |
846 |
274 |
146 |
34 |
9 |
0 |
| OW |
18 |
148 |
143 |
274 |
333 |
40 |
11 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
57 |
59 |
157 |
199 |
79 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
34 |
21 |
70 |
52 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
37 |
20 |
47 |
102 |
156 |
11 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
35 |
31 |
67 |
130 |
873 |
4014 |
4438 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81057 |
15071 |
898 |
355 |
343 |
52 |
10 |
0 |
| OW |
17 |
102 |
92 |
187 |
227 |
50 |
9 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
59 |
61 |
165 |
108 |
58 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
30 |
20 |
65 |
51 |
56 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
35 |
19 |
50 |
111 |
143 |
6 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
33 |
30 |
67 |
122 |
882 |
4018 |
4438 |
|
Date: 2022-11-07:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78497 |
16555 |
1306 |
351 |
120 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
28 |
87 |
102 |
258 |
108 |
9 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
49 |
203 |
333 |
48 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
30 |
16 |
65 |
462 |
436 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
22 |
11 |
29 |
144 |
281 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
30 |
50 |
47 |
87 |
1283 |
5448 |
2543 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
78482 |
16476 |
1241 |
461 |
239 |
14 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
43 |
100 |
119 |
196 |
287 |
113 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
49 |
63 |
120 |
331 |
297 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
26 |
24 |
61 |
141 |
156 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
41 |
25 |
46 |
126 |
163 |
15 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
69 |
62 |
69 |
130 |
1326 |
5437 |
2543 |
|
Date: 2022-11-09:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80320 |
13493 |
2076 |
486 |
91 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
25 |
52 |
161 |
195 |
137 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
19 |
65 |
188 |
251 |
114 |
3 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
24 |
69 |
278 |
251 |
10 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
21 |
51 |
191 |
662 |
41 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
14 |
58 |
189 |
1273 |
5234 |
3036 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
80320 |
13325 |
1985 |
385 |
91 |
8 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
25 |
185 |
139 |
232 |
179 |
30 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
37 |
125 |
202 |
281 |
211 |
12 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
40 |
76 |
189 |
350 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
30 |
56 |
181 |
386 |
29 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
7 |
42 |
96 |
216 |
1329 |
5237 |
3036 |
|
Date: 2022-11-11:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
72077 |
19927 |
3376 |
313 |
139 |
25 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
25 |
166 |
215 |
228 |
119 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
43 |
92 |
188 |
251 |
48 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
5 |
35 |
94 |
269 |
92 |
6 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
18 |
54 |
293 |
339 |
18 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
49 |
269 |
1884 |
4693 |
3717 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
72077 |
19724 |
3387 |
313 |
130 |
38 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
25 |
283 |
156 |
231 |
163 |
32 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
125 |
129 |
161 |
285 |
84 |
8 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
40 |
112 |
285 |
132 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
4 |
22 |
62 |
248 |
430 |
44 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
10 |
47 |
229 |
1687 |
4658 |
3717 |
|
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