Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
Asian sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables

Validation of sea ice concentration - Asian sector

Bulletin date: 2022-11-03

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-28:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 186 3532 1552 102 99 78 0 0
OW 2 415 235 337 349 405 1 0
VODI 0 36 29 273 814 794 23 0
ODI 0 0 0 39 422 983 128 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 133 1175 499 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 46 1229 10202 7964
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 116 3639 534 387 36 62 1 0
OW 0 320 134 604 388 337 49 0
VODI 0 16 13 164 320 708 151 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 282 1198 330 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 86 842 843 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 12 858 12347 7302
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-01:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1552 2503 616 150 23 0 0 0
OW 13 95 172 345 66 5 0 0
VODI 0 23 35 418 179 74 2 0
ODI 0 7 0 113 323 409 37 0
CDI 0 0 0 6 439 1646 466 33
VCDI 0 0 0 5 121 2677 12734 6795
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-11-03:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 235 2921 497 269 41 0 0 0
OW 0 157 95 419 422 41 0 0
VODI 0 23 1 44 510 273 19 0
ODI 0 0 0 3 225 485 147 0
CDI 0 0 0 11 236 928 463 5
VCDI 0 0 0 9 220 2918 13652 6813
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 235 2968 537 407 133 2 0 0
OW 0 117 55 266 314 30 0 0
VODI 0 16 1 59 525 273 2 0
ODI 0 0 0 4 247 473 156 0
CDI 0 0 0 8 241 1046 481 5
VCDI 0 0 0 11 194 2821 13642 6813

Date: 2022-11-05:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1584 1515 91 71 0 0 0 0
OW 0 219 216 328 356 70 1 0
VODI 0 30 7 66 325 425 31 0
ODI 0 0 0 13 50 496 156 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 104 685 411 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 221 5216 11383 8012
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1584 1592 204 138 20 17 0 0
OW 0 159 93 268 352 132 1 0
VODI 0 13 17 61 311 460 42 0
ODI 0 0 0 11 51 450 68 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 151 651 420 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 171 5182 11451 8012

Date: 2022-11-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1641 1134 63 55 3 0 0 0
OW 0 32 28 60 51 0 0 0
VODI 0 10 28 79 111 11 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 47 313 120 0 0
CDI 0 0 0 10 348 1391 428 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 78 3132 15519 7381
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1641 1161 83 109 40 4 0 0
OW 0 15 37 75 333 114 0 0
VODI 0 0 6 65 395 732 126 0
ODI 0 0 0 2 38 317 213 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 37 563 386 0
VCDI 0 0 0 2 61 2924 15222 7381

Date: 2022-11-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1007 1463 127 97 29 0 0 0
OW 1 15 12 62 119 15 0 0
VODI 0 6 6 22 102 62 0 0
ODI 0 0 7 27 68 152 12 0
CDI 0 0 0 3 56 638 200 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 2 1819 17315 8638
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 1008 1479 130 137 120 11 0 0
OW 0 5 22 49 137 78 0 0
VODI 0 0 0 25 105 794 141 0
ODI 0 0 0 0 2 435 461 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 2 183 440 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 10 1185 16485 8638

Date: 2022-11-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 14 2126 318 54 18 3 0 0
OW 2 60 42 82 41 10 0 0
VODI 0 4 15 42 81 47 0 0
ODI 0 3 2 11 62 93 1 0
CDI 0 0 11 35 80 247 117 0
VCDI 0 0 0 11 63 2375 14962 11050
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 16 2131 323 74 21 3 0 0
OW 0 53 33 50 60 24 0 0
VODI 0 9 24 71 125 272 43 0
ODI 0 0 8 40 116 473 296 0
CDI 0 0 0 0 15 491 423 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 8 1512 14318 11050


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