Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2022-10-27
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2022-10-21:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88323 |
9457 |
807 |
96 |
115 |
69 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
77 |
85 |
56 |
23 |
18 |
5 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
50 |
86 |
64 |
42 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
52 |
70 |
58 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
29 |
84 |
102 |
52 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
11 |
79 |
219 |
950 |
4335 |
3643 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-23:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85348 |
12588 |
494 |
119 |
103 |
59 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
2 |
85 |
80 |
44 |
62 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
51 |
70 |
61 |
21 |
28 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
54 |
69 |
42 |
19 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
24 |
96 |
67 |
84 |
9 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
15 |
65 |
146 |
639 |
4736 |
3744 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-25:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88009 |
9919 |
392 |
158 |
87 |
46 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
82 |
73 |
19 |
27 |
53 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
43 |
91 |
61 |
48 |
82 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
8 |
50 |
73 |
37 |
36 |
4 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
24 |
87 |
87 |
89 |
0 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
59 |
164 |
816 |
4007 |
4353 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-27:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
86419 |
11280 |
383 |
164 |
146 |
83 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
98 |
52 |
37 |
20 |
58 |
13 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
47 |
65 |
83 |
36 |
99 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
35 |
70 |
39 |
47 |
9 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
12 |
88 |
78 |
126 |
27 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
92 |
854 |
4617 |
3882 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
86419 |
11285 |
380 |
166 |
150 |
86 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
95 |
54 |
35 |
17 |
47 |
10 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
42 |
66 |
83 |
36 |
104 |
10 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
11 |
36 |
72 |
38 |
44 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
10 |
83 |
78 |
101 |
29 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
1 |
19 |
92 |
885 |
4615 |
3882 |
|
Date: 2022-10-29:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82989 |
13387 |
1551 |
228 |
150 |
25 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
89 |
97 |
42 |
43 |
50 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
40 |
89 |
75 |
52 |
78 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
28 |
47 |
67 |
65 |
55 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
22 |
42 |
70 |
77 |
120 |
50 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
9 |
53 |
85 |
147 |
1331 |
5994 |
1835 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
82989 |
13390 |
1557 |
225 |
149 |
22 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
7 |
84 |
94 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
2 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
47 |
89 |
67 |
48 |
76 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
26 |
46 |
70 |
64 |
65 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
23 |
41 |
72 |
70 |
105 |
40 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
5 |
52 |
88 |
158 |
1346 |
6004 |
1835 |
|
Date: 2022-10-31:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85992 |
10799 |
928 |
588 |
88 |
23 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
72 |
73 |
94 |
43 |
18 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
55 |
45 |
84 |
71 |
38 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
32 |
26 |
53 |
97 |
63 |
7 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
38 |
22 |
38 |
95 |
245 |
45 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
10 |
89 |
85 |
98 |
631 |
5194 |
3207 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
85992 |
10684 |
854 |
515 |
101 |
40 |
4 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
109 |
78 |
131 |
43 |
36 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
80 |
65 |
50 |
46 |
48 |
6 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
46 |
46 |
73 |
65 |
65 |
10 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
49 |
32 |
68 |
94 |
111 |
18 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
38 |
108 |
105 |
143 |
718 |
5213 |
3207 |
|
Date: 2022-11-02:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79763 |
17191 |
735 |
496 |
196 |
29 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
12 |
74 |
81 |
93 |
65 |
13 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
61 |
55 |
66 |
49 |
42 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
43 |
21 |
51 |
64 |
42 |
1 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
46 |
28 |
38 |
120 |
102 |
12 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
14 |
69 |
100 |
193 |
1165 |
4145 |
3816 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
79766 |
16889 |
610 |
300 |
89 |
31 |
8 |
0 |
| OW |
9 |
262 |
105 |
246 |
165 |
39 |
1 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
122 |
64 |
44 |
27 |
37 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
54 |
73 |
33 |
42 |
53 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
61 |
42 |
94 |
123 |
82 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
41 |
95 |
127 |
241 |
1151 |
4143 |
3816 |
|
Date: 2022-11-04:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83355 |
12926 |
1123 |
362 |
133 |
15 |
7 |
0 |
| OW |
16 |
112 |
184 |
238 |
170 |
16 |
11 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
66 |
53 |
66 |
54 |
29 |
7 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
25 |
65 |
52 |
35 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
46 |
23 |
56 |
93 |
97 |
21 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
74 |
49 |
96 |
168 |
1245 |
3977 |
3988 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
83359 |
12402 |
959 |
159 |
74 |
21 |
17 |
0 |
| OW |
12 |
391 |
155 |
231 |
32 |
20 |
8 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
227 |
158 |
210 |
235 |
36 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
76 |
71 |
43 |
22 |
37 |
14 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
55 |
49 |
111 |
119 |
108 |
22 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
118 |
65 |
129 |
188 |
1215 |
3962 |
3988 |
|
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