Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector
Bulletin date: 2022-10-20
Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration
Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables
Date: 2022-10-14:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
92823 |
6139 |
159 |
118 |
128 |
56 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
127 |
43 |
50 |
8 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
87 |
47 |
70 |
36 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
45 |
43 |
50 |
51 |
12 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
38 |
36 |
58 |
64 |
93 |
24 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
14 |
29 |
68 |
101 |
1396 |
4449 |
2621 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-16:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
91242 |
6977 |
647 |
110 |
134 |
87 |
3 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
107 |
40 |
55 |
22 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
81 |
38 |
67 |
52 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
43 |
31 |
58 |
47 |
29 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
19 |
35 |
57 |
99 |
111 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
9 |
9 |
61 |
127 |
1289 |
6380 |
1005 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-18:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
90759 |
7441 |
477 |
157 |
208 |
35 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
88 |
72 |
53 |
51 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
59 |
56 |
81 |
61 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
30 |
37 |
60 |
75 |
35 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
8 |
34 |
54 |
124 |
142 |
14 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
20 |
47 |
95 |
1546 |
5791 |
1367 |
|
...date precedes bulletin
|
Date: 2022-10-20:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88173 |
10104 |
350 |
136 |
163 |
28 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
86 |
66 |
41 |
32 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
48 |
93 |
77 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
45 |
73 |
66 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
29 |
93 |
101 |
49 |
11 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
23 |
87 |
254 |
1393 |
5522 |
1876 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88173 |
10115 |
354 |
146 |
171 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
79 |
67 |
39 |
29 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
47 |
92 |
76 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
17 |
44 |
71 |
70 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
7 |
30 |
95 |
92 |
47 |
12 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
3 |
19 |
80 |
254 |
1391 |
5521 |
1876 |
|
Date: 2022-10-22:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
86916 |
10537 |
1012 |
131 |
85 |
78 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
77 |
98 |
41 |
51 |
32 |
6 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
47 |
79 |
68 |
24 |
23 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
23 |
43 |
73 |
46 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
32 |
84 |
73 |
75 |
1 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
16 |
81 |
167 |
863 |
4625 |
3561 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
86916 |
10548 |
1029 |
147 |
129 |
104 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
0 |
73 |
83 |
28 |
10 |
17 |
4 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
44 |
82 |
71 |
25 |
15 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
39 |
80 |
48 |
18 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
12 |
35 |
75 |
70 |
83 |
2 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
2 |
12 |
77 |
164 |
852 |
4624 |
3561 |
|
Date: 2022-10-24:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88156 |
9778 |
458 |
163 |
89 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
96 |
60 |
36 |
27 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
43 |
77 |
79 |
44 |
81 |
1 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
10 |
38 |
79 |
48 |
55 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
1 |
21 |
75 |
71 |
124 |
7 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
39 |
127 |
665 |
4669 |
3784 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
88156 |
9709 |
448 |
162 |
132 |
153 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
4 |
104 |
49 |
37 |
11 |
24 |
0 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
91 |
64 |
50 |
21 |
31 |
0 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
21 |
50 |
67 |
31 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
2 |
34 |
92 |
70 |
118 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
1 |
11 |
63 |
141 |
666 |
4671 |
3784 |
|
Date: 2022-10-26:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84023 |
13835 |
402 |
136 |
102 |
59 |
1 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
88 |
51 |
21 |
14 |
64 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
57 |
72 |
68 |
35 |
92 |
8 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
7 |
61 |
58 |
28 |
50 |
3 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
0 |
17 |
86 |
82 |
81 |
10 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
133 |
642 |
3909 |
4752 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
84024 |
13745 |
385 |
133 |
109 |
152 |
13 |
0 |
| OW |
5 |
137 |
49 |
38 |
21 |
59 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
80 |
61 |
35 |
25 |
39 |
5 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
19 |
70 |
60 |
27 |
39 |
2 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
6 |
36 |
91 |
86 |
85 |
4 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
2 |
52 |
126 |
614 |
3911 |
4752 |
|
Date: 2022-10-28:
| Best estimate |
Forecast |
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81616 |
15435 |
913 |
201 |
170 |
48 |
2 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
112 |
62 |
50 |
19 |
69 |
7 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
64 |
65 |
75 |
51 |
88 |
4 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
32 |
45 |
55 |
51 |
53 |
5 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
10 |
32 |
73 |
97 |
122 |
40 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
0 |
8 |
51 |
112 |
1220 |
5501 |
2536 |
|
|
observations |
|
Ice free |
Ice free
near MIZ |
OW |
VODI |
ODI |
CDI |
VCDI
near MIZ |
VCDI |
m
o
d
e
l |
Ice free |
81616 |
15377 |
888 |
191 |
171 |
113 |
11 |
0 |
| OW |
6 |
113 |
54 |
65 |
37 |
88 |
3 |
0 |
| VODI |
0 |
77 |
63 |
51 |
29 |
30 |
2 |
0 |
| ODI |
0 |
43 |
42 |
53 |
41 |
35 |
11 |
0 |
| CDI |
0 |
34 |
33 |
51 |
91 |
93 |
5 |
0 |
| VCDI |
0 |
9 |
45 |
94 |
131 |
1241 |
5527 |
2536 |
|
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