Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-13

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-10-07:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 95300 4237 158 83 49 0 0 0
OW 0 173 81 34 3 0 0 0
VODI 0 95 88 85 20 3 0 0
ODI 0 39 47 81 64 5 0 0
CDI 0 23 48 134 179 40 0 0
VCDI 0 0 2 40 370 2049 5211 359
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-09:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94420 4528 477 92 65 15 0 0
OW 0 137 106 34 20 1 0 0
VODI 0 86 89 56 36 3 0 0
ODI 0 46 64 50 49 10 0 0
CDI 0 33 82 65 102 28 0 0
VCDI 0 0 48 125 330 2512 5174 217
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-11:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94284 4930 150 194 126 66 0 0
OW 0 83 44 26 19 5 0 0
VODI 0 76 41 63 32 6 0 0
ODI 0 41 27 52 43 18 1 0
CDI 0 36 39 74 127 86 4 0
VCDI 0 0 5 33 135 1949 4882 1403
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-13:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93652 5393 205 183 102 38 0 0
OW 0 133 32 37 9 7 0 0
VODI 0 115 36 45 34 4 0 0
ODI 0 67 40 34 40 11 0 0
CDI 0 69 35 63 71 70 18 0
VCDI 0 13 43 77 150 1594 4966 1714
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93652 5412 216 199 103 39 0 0
OW 0 126 30 30 15 6 0 0
VODI 0 100 32 45 30 4 0 0
ODI 0 67 37 31 36 12 0 0
CDI 0 71 34 65 75 78 19 0
VCDI 0 14 42 69 147 1585 4965 1714

Date: 2022-10-15:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91191 7509 238 115 143 69 0 0
OW 0 115 56 71 13 13 0 0
VODI 0 64 59 58 55 4 0 0
ODI 0 32 40 58 51 29 0 0
CDI 0 23 32 69 85 91 21 0
VCDI 0 2 22 68 147 1472 5344 1741
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 91191 7523 245 127 140 73 0 0
OW 0 96 54 68 22 9 0 0
VODI 0 70 56 56 56 8 0 0
ODI 0 30 34 56 46 26 0 0
CDI 0 24 33 60 91 91 25 0
VCDI 0 2 25 72 139 1471 5340 1741

Date: 2022-10-17:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85441 12739 583 146 169 65 0 0
OW 0 101 55 56 32 15 0 0
VODI 0 48 60 85 59 12 0 0
ODI 0 18 34 73 71 46 0 0
CDI 0 12 27 69 118 185 9 0
VCDI 0 0 4 17 81 1002 6256 1412
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 85441 12685 595 169 190 82 0 0
OW 0 101 44 49 41 12 0 0
VODI 0 78 32 66 52 29 0 0
ODI 0 33 34 51 51 31 1 0
CDI 0 19 39 59 100 135 10 0
VCDI 0 2 19 52 96 1036 6254 1412

Date: 2022-10-19:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87900 10015 688 139 207 44 2 0
OW 0 71 84 53 22 19 0 0
VODI 0 38 85 84 51 14 0 0
ODI 0 10 37 76 77 25 0 0
CDI 0 9 15 72 107 100 6 0
VCDI 0 6 10 55 160 1988 6249 582
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 87900 9989 662 141 214 59 2 0
OW 0 65 88 54 19 14 0 0
VODI 0 47 87 69 64 10 0 0
ODI 0 14 41 71 61 25 0 0
CDI 0 15 25 72 90 95 7 0
VCDI 0 19 16 72 176 1987 6248 582

Date: 2022-10-21:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88323 9457 807 96 115 69 0 0
OW 0 77 85 56 23 18 5 0
VODI 0 50 86 64 42 6 0 0
ODI 0 7 52 70 58 14 0 0
CDI 0 10 29 84 102 52 4 0
VCDI 0 2 11 79 219 950 4335 3643
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 88323 9407 794 98 132 86 5 0
OW 0 90 87 55 19 5 0 0
VODI 0 55 88 69 40 3 0 0
ODI 0 18 41 70 52 13 0 0
CDI 0 13 34 53 87 57 5 0
VCDI 0 20 26 104 229 945 4334 3643


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