Description of algorithm
Full domain
American sector
European sector
  Ice concntr, edge pos
  Contingency tables
Asian sector

Validation of sea ice concentration - European sector

Bulletin date: 2022-10-06

Data source: OSI SAF N.H. AMSR sea ice concentration

Model vs. observations, sea ice class contingency tables

Date: 2022-09-30:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94044 5467 302 175 6 0 0 0
OW 0 141 57 131 30 2 0 0
VODI 0 58 42 80 144 30 1 0
ODI 0 18 26 52 196 51 4 0
CDI 0 6 29 75 239 246 229 0
VCDI 0 0 0 13 50 1903 5252 1
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-02:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92650 6715 428 120 8 0 0 0
OW 0 168 46 78 42 1 0 0
VODI 0 95 41 65 108 22 1 0
ODI 0 44 38 35 159 39 3 0
CDI 0 16 40 76 251 224 181 0
VCDI 0 3 10 18 66 1645 5664 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-04:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93751 5701 346 141 16 0 0 0
OW 0 99 71 79 34 0 0 0
VODI 0 50 52 105 92 3 0 0
ODI 0 13 17 85 202 7 0 0
CDI 0 7 7 65 303 249 60 0
VCDI 0 0 0 0 80 1404 6061 0
...date precedes bulletin

Date: 2022-10-06:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93761 5756 280 135 20 0 0 0
OW 0 136 83 50 8 0 0 0
VODI 0 77 77 95 44 0 0 0
ODI 0 25 44 117 59 4 0 0
CDI 0 5 32 178 220 97 4 0
VCDI 0 0 0 23 262 2338 5170 0
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93761 5804 298 149 20 0 0 0
OW 0 109 59 51 10 0 0 0
VODI 0 63 88 80 47 1 0 0
ODI 0 23 47 116 67 7 0 0
CDI 0 0 24 182 234 136 9 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 235 2295 5165 0

Date: 2022-10-08:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94122 4922 507 84 69 7 0 0
OW 0 126 126 39 4 3 0 0
VODI 0 83 107 65 28 2 0 0
ODI 0 42 51 64 60 3 0 0
CDI 0 20 77 83 143 28 0 0
VCDI 0 0 16 89 355 1909 4905 961
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94122 4974 539 89 71 9 0 0
OW 0 101 101 44 4 1 0 0
VODI 0 63 108 52 22 1 0 0
ODI 0 38 52 68 75 5 0 0
CDI 0 17 72 91 149 32 0 0
VCDI 0 0 12 80 338 1904 4905 961

Date: 2022-10-10:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94898 4487 174 143 81 13 0 0
OW 0 113 39 36 17 0 0 0
VODI 0 80 47 54 38 6 0 0
ODI 0 42 28 49 60 22 2 0
CDI 0 18 44 86 136 102 1 0
VCDI 0 0 0 20 138 2131 5833 162
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 94898 4309 145 124 78 13 0 0
OW 0 159 40 41 27 0 0 0
VODI 0 135 29 38 33 11 0 0
ODI 0 74 37 34 41 18 1 0
CDI 0 56 54 76 82 67 2 0
VCDI 0 7 27 75 209 2165 5833 162

Date: 2022-10-12:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93843 5278 150 182 146 82 0 0
OW 0 108 33 23 23 6 0 0
VODI 0 99 38 42 29 12 0 0
ODI 0 55 31 33 34 22 0 0
CDI 0 63 34 71 76 94 11 0
VCDI 0 9 21 62 141 1721 5965 563
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 93843 5093 131 139 115 72 0 0
OW 0 163 34 64 40 18 0 0
VODI 0 146 31 34 56 11 0 0
ODI 0 88 41 28 28 32 0 0
CDI 0 86 37 67 56 74 7 0
VCDI 0 36 33 81 154 1730 5969 563

Date: 2022-10-14:

Best estimate Forecast
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92823 6139 159 118 128 56 0 0
OW 0 127 43 50 8 8 0 0
VODI 0 87 47 70 36 9 0 0
ODI 0 45 43 50 51 12 0 0
CDI 0 38 36 58 64 93 24 0
VCDI 0 14 29 68 101 1396 4449 2621
observations
Ice free Ice free
near MIZ
OW VODI ODI CDI VCDI
near MIZ
VCDI
m
o
d
e
l
Ice free 92823 5994 144 98 94 47 0 0
OW 0 134 40 64 44 13 0 0
VODI 0 149 41 58 30 17 0 0
ODI 0 80 37 42 52 19 0 0
CDI 0 71 49 64 52 68 2 0
VCDI 0 22 46 88 116 1410 4471 2621


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